NYSE$NOG
Northern Oil and Gas Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings
Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Announced third quarter results with increased production and reduced costs.
Northern Oil and Gas announced strong third-quarter results, marked by a 22% increase in production from the second quarter and a 9% decrease in operating expenses. The company strategically reduced debt by $6.5 million during the quarter and an additional $21.0 million after the quarter ended, while generating significant free cash flow and capitalizing on high-return asset opportunities.
- Third quarter production reached 29,051 Boe per day, exceeding guidance and up 22% from the second quarter.
- Cash flow from operations was $69.0 million, excluding $12.6 million spent on net working capital reduction, a 30% increase from the second quarter.
- Capital expenditures totaled $43.8 million in the third quarter.
- Total debt was reduced by $6.5 million in the third quarter, with an additional $21.0 million reduction after the quarter, totaling $160.0 million year-to-date.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Northern Oil and Gas · Revenue · Quarterly
$47.3M
Revenue by segment
Northern Oil and Gas · $130M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020
- Oil and Gas Sales$130M—100.0%
Forward guidance
Northern is providing WTI price based capital spending and production guidance for 2021. In the base case with $40+ average WTI oil price for 2021, Northern expects total capital expenditures of $190 – $240 million and production of 37,500 – 42,500 Boe per day for 2021.
Tailwinds
- Total capital expenditures of $190 - $240 million
- Production of 37,500 – 42,500 Boe per day for 2021
- Bulk of wells will be turned to sales in the second quarter through the fourth quarter in 2021.
- Significant portion of capital allocated would be for wells in process that would turn to sales in 2022 and beyond.
- Expects to enter 2021 with nearly 9.0 net wells drilled and completed but delayed from being turned to sales.
Headwinds
- Assumes approximately 2,500-5,000 Boe per day of production is shut-in or curtailed for low prices if oil prices are greater than $35 but less than $40.
- Anticipates additional curtailments if WTI prices average less than $35.
- Limited new drilling if oil prices are greater than $35 but less than $40.
- Minimal new drilling if WTI prices average less than $35.
- Expects the first quarter of 2021 to be seasonally lower than the annual range due to winter weather restrictions for the completions of new wells.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020
+2.9%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.2%
Avg return
5 days after
+7.1%
Avg return
30 days after
58%
38 / 65 earnings
Positive
+34.4%
Q2 2010
Best reaction
-16.6%
Q3 2010
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | -2.8% | -21.1% | |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6% | +6.1% | +16.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | +5.6% | +7.6% | +21.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9% | -1.9% | +7.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -9.1% | -14.9% | |
| Q3 2024 | +13.4% | +13.0% | +14.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | +7.4% | -4.1% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2024 | -8.9% | -7.6% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9% | +1.7% | +10.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -1.1% | |
| Q2 2023 | +5.6% | +6.2% | +9.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +2.7% | +0.7% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.1% | +1.5% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | -3.2% | +5.2% | -11.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | -12.2% | -7.2% | +7.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | +4.6% | -6.4% | +20.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +2.8% | +9.5% | +28.2% | |
| Q3 2021 | +3.4% | -0.8% | -20.9% | |
| Q2 2021 | +8.2% | +9.3% | +9.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | +4.1% | +4.8% | +23.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.8% | -2.1% | -12.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +19.7% | +27.7% | +124.6% | |
| Q2 2020 | -4.4% | -5.8% | -29.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | +13.8% | +14.5% | +48.7% | |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2% | -18.8% | -12.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.9% | -3.4% | -8.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.4% | +0.0% | +13.6% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.3% | -4.8% | -12.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | +11.3% | +8.1% | +17.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.5% | -16.5% | -23.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | -2.4% | -17.5% | -7.6% | |
| Q1 2018 | +14.9% | +28.6% | +42.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | +7.3% | +9.9% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2017 | -7.7% | -9.2% | +24.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | -5.0% | +1.0% | -21.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | +5.1% | +0.0% | -12.8% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.7% | -5.0% | -13.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +8.6% | +2.9% | +85.7% | |
| Q2 2016 | +6.6% | +11.3% | -6.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -4.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +31.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +8.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -10.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +7.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -11.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -16.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -16.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +34.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +5.6% | — | — |
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