NYSE$NOG

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first quarter results and achieved a new quarterly production record.

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. reported strong Q1 2024 results, marked by record quarterly production of 119,436 Boe per day, a 37% increase year-over-year. The company's Permian Basin production reached record volumes, surpassing the Williston Basin for the first time. NOG also closed on strategic acquisitions and continued its focus on shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases.

  • Record quarterly production of 119,436 Boe per day, up 37% year-over-year.
  • GAAP net income of $11.6 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $387.0 million.
  • Permian Basin production became the largest basin by production for the first time.
  • Reiterated annual guidance with some modest adjustments and additional detail for the second quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$396M

Previous: $582M-31.9%
EPS

$0.11

Previous: $1.76-93.8%
Total Production

119.4K

Previous: 87.4K+36.7%
Oil Production

70.2K

Previous: 53.9K+30.3%
Natural Gas Production

295.5K

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$387M

Previous: $326M+18.9%
Lease Operating Costs

$105M

No prior period
Production Taxes

$51.2M

No prior period
G&A Expenses

$11.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$407M

Previous: -$461M+11.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$395M

Previous: -$121M-226.7%
Net Income

$11.6M

Previous: $340M-96.6%
Operating Income

$52.3M

Previous: $361M-85.5%
Gross Profit

$291M

Previous: $504M-42.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$32.5M

Previous: $6.07M+434.6%
Total Assets

$4.63B

Previous: $3.34B+38.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.27M

Previous: $2.15M+5.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Northern Oil and Gas · Revenue · Quarterly

$396M

Q1 2024-31.9%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Northern Oil and Gas · $130M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Oil and Gas Sales
    $130M

Forward guidance

NOG is reiterating its annual guidance as shown in the table below, with some modest adjustments and additional detail for the second quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Annual Production (Boe per day) 115,000 - 120,000
  • Annual Oil Production (Bbls per day) 70,000 - 73,000
  • Net Wells Turned-in-Line (“TIL”) 87.5 - 92.5
  • Net Wells Spud 67.5 - 72.5
  • Non-Cash General and Administrative Expense (per Boe) $0.25 - $0.30

Headwinds

  • Production Expenses (per Boe) $9.25 - $9.90
  • Production Taxes (as a percentage of Oil & Gas Sales) 9.0% - 10.0%
  • Average Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl) ($4.00) - ($4.40)
  • Average Realization as a Percentage of NYMEX Henry Hub (per Mcf) 80% - 85%
  • Cash General and Administrative Expense (per Boe) $0.75 - $0.85

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+2.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.4%

Q2 2010

Best reaction

-16.6%

Q3 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%-2.8%-21.1%
Q4 2025-0.6%+6.1%+16.4%
Q3 2025+5.6%+7.6%+21.3%
Q1 2025-1.9%-1.9%+7.4%
Q4 2024-0.1%-9.1%-14.9%
Q3 2024+13.4%+13.0%+14.6%
Q2 2024+7.4%-4.1%+0.2%
Q1 2024-8.9%-7.6%-8.0%
Q4 2023-0.9%+1.7%+10.5%
Q3 2023+0.9%-1.9%-1.1%
Q2 2023+5.6%+6.2%+9.2%
Q1 2023+2.7%+0.7%+1.3%
Q4 2022+5.1%+1.5%-7.3%
Q3 2022-3.2%+5.2%-11.5%
Q2 2022-12.2%-7.2%+7.7%
Q1 2022+4.6%-6.4%+20.8%
Q4 2021+2.8%+9.5%+28.2%
Q3 2021+3.4%-0.8%-20.9%
Q2 2021+8.2%+9.3%+9.9%
Q1 2021+4.1%+4.8%+23.7%
Q4 2020-2.8%-2.1%-12.4%
Q3 2020+19.7%+27.7%+124.6%
Q2 2020-4.4%-5.8%-29.1%
Q1 2020+13.8%+14.5%+48.7%
Q4 2019-1.2%-18.8%-12.5%
Q3 2019-1.9%-3.4%-8.2%
Q2 2019-7.4%+0.0%+13.6%
Q1 2019-1.3%-4.8%-12.2%
Q4 2018+11.3%+8.1%+17.6%
Q3 2018-3.5%-16.5%-23.5%
Q2 2018-2.4%-17.5%-7.6%
Q1 2018+14.9%+28.6%+42.9%
Q4 2017+7.3%+9.9%-7.3%
Q3 2017-7.7%-9.2%+24.6%
Q2 2017-5.0%+1.0%-21.0%
Q1 2017+5.1%+0.0%-12.8%
Q4 2016+1.7%-5.0%-13.3%
Q3 2016+8.6%+2.9%+85.7%
Q2 2016+6.6%+11.3%-6.9%
Q1 2016-4.8%
Q4 2015+31.8%
Q3 2015+8.0%
Q2 2015+6.1%
Q1 2015-10.8%
Q4 2014+1.7%
Q3 2014+7.5%
Q2 2014+1.7%
Q1 2014-6.3%
Q4 2013-11.5%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013+2.0%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-3.5%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2009-2.6%
Q4 2011-2.6%
Q3 2011-16.6%
Q3 2010-16.6%
Q2 2011+34.4%
Q4 2010+34.4%
Q2 2010+34.4%
Q1 2010+5.6%

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