NYSE$HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc · Q4 2021 earnings
Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Harley-Davidson delivered strong financial results, completing the first year of The Hardwire Strategic Plan.
Harley-Davidson reported a 40% increase in total revenue for Q4 2021, driven by higher units, profitable unit mix, and pricing. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.14 compared to a loss of $0.63 in Q4 2020. The company successfully completed the first year of its Hardwire Five-year Strategic Plan.
- Delivered GAAP diluted EPS of $0.14, compared to a loss of $0.63 in Q4 2020.
- Grew Harley-Davidson's total revenue by 40% due to higher units, profitable unit mix and pricing.
- HDMC achieved improved GAAP operating margin as Hardwire actions take effect.
- HDFS operating income grew by $18 million, a 24% increase compared to the previous year, driven by lower interest expense.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Harley-Davidson · Revenue · Quarterly
$816M
Revenue by segment
Harley-Davidson · $817M total across 5 segments · Q4 2021
- Motorcycles$546M+70.6%66.8%
- Parts & Accessories$165M+12.7%20.2%
- Apparel$73M+46.7%8.9%
- Other HDMC$18M+160.9%2.2%
- Licensing$15M+89.3%1.8%
Forward guidance
For the full year 2022, the company expects HDMC revenue growth of 5 to 10%, HDMC operating income margin of 11 to 12%, HDFS operating income to decline by 20 to 25%, and capital investments of $190 million to $220 million. The outlook assumes that supply chain challenges improve in the second half of the year.
Tailwinds
- HDMC revenue growth of 5 to 10%
- HDMC operating income margin of 11 to 12%
- Cash allocation priorities are to fund growth through The Hardwire initiatives
- Cash allocation priorities are to pay dividends
- Cash allocation priorities are to execute discretionary share repurchases.
Headwinds
- HDFS operating income to decline by 20 to 25%
- Supply chain challenges
- COVID-19 pandemic, including the length and severity of the pandemic across the globe and the pace of recovery following the pandemic
- Manage and predict the impact that new, reinstated or adjusted tariffs may have on the company's ability to sell products internationally, and the cost of raw materials and components, including the temporary lifting of the Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs and incremental tariffs on motorcycles imported into the EU from the U.S., between the U.S. and EU, which expires on December 31, 2023
- The company’s operations, demand for its products, and its liquidity could be adversely impacted by work stoppages, facility closures, strikes, natural causes, widespread infectious disease, terrorism, or other factors.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021
+1.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.6%
Avg return
30 days after
57%
41 / 72 earnings
Positive
+28.6%
Q1 2020
Best reaction
-17.8%
Q4 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | +9.4% | +5.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +4.0% | +1.4% | -10.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | -6.6% | -5.6% | -12.5% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.8% | +4.0% | +8.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -6.7% | -4.4% | -1.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +8.7% | +13.3% | +12.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | -11.9% | -12.8% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | +6.7% | +6.5% | +11.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | -9.2% | -6.8% | +5.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +2.8% | +2.3% | -11.0% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.5% | -1.3% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | +9.8% | +7.5% | +1.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | +12.2% | +15.8% | +28.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.2% | +6.9% | +16.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | +1.6% | +0.4% | -0.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +20.0% | +15.5% | +7.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.3% | +12.2% | +5.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -8.6% | -6.8% | -9.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +14.4% | +18.9% | +21.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | -17.8% | -16.1% | -12.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +16.8% | +13.4% | +41.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | -3.6% | -11.1% | -3.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | +28.6% | +7.7% | +23.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.9% | -4.1% | -10.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | +6.7% | +6.2% | -3.5% | |
| Q2 2019 | +4.1% | +4.7% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | -6.6% | -13.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | -2.6% | -7.1% | +3.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | +8.8% | +7.1% | +3.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -12.4% | -14.1% | -18.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | +3.1% | +6.3% | +3.3% | |
| Q2 2017 | -6.2% | -7.2% | -9.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -5.0% | -6.0% | -11.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.3% | -2.5% | +1.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | +10.2% | +13.4% | +16.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.6% | +1.7% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -16.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -9.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +6.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -7.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +6.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +4.7% | — | — |
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