NYSE$HOG

Harley-Davidson Inc · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Harley-Davidson reported Q4 2025 consolidated revenue of $496M and a diluted loss per share of $2.44.

Q4 consolidated revenue fell 28% year over year; HDMC revenue was $379 million. The company reported a diluted loss per share of $2.44, reflecting the HDFS strategic transaction and operational reset, while full-year diluted EPS was $2.78.

  • Q4 diluted EPS $(2.44).
  • HDFS transaction drove $1B dividend to HDI.
  • North America retail sales +5% in Q4.
  • FY2026 HDMC operating income guide $(40)M to $10M.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$496M

Previous: $688M-27.9%
EPS (adj)

-$2.44

Previous: -$0.93-162.4%
US Wholesale Shipments

5.7K

No prior period
Worldwide Wholesale Shipments

13.5K

No prior period
Worldwide Retail Sales

25.3K

No prior period
North America Retail Sales

15.8K

No prior period
EMEA Retail Sales

3.6K

No prior period
Asia Pacific Retail Sales

5.0K

No prior period
Latin America Retail Sales

836

No prior period
LiveWire Unit Sales

381

No prior period
Net Income

-$279M

Previous: -$117M-138.5%
Operating Income

-$361M

Previous: -$193M-87.1%
Gross Profit

-$30.5M

Previous: -$3.17M-861.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Harley-Davidson · Revenue · Quarterly

$496M

Q4 2025-27.9%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Harley-Davidson · $2.96B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Parts & Accessories
    $1.85B+819.4%
  • Motorcycles
    $1.02B-9.8%
  • Apparel
    $49.3M-29.5%
  • Other HDMC
    $30.2M+37.1%
  • Licensing
    $9.59M-12.9%

Forward guidance

Harley-Davidson guided FY2026 HDMC wholesale shipments of 130k–135k units and HDMC operating income between a $40M loss and $10M profit.

Tailwinds

  • Dealer inventory down 17% YoY.
  • HDFS capital-light partnership with KKR/PIMCO.
  • Strategic plan update expected May 2026.

Headwinds

  • Near-term GAAP losses from reset.
  • Motorcycle demand cyclicality.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

41 / 72 earnings

Positive

+28.6%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-17.8%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%+9.4%+5.0%
Q4 2025+4.0%+1.4%-10.8%
Q3 2025-6.6%-5.6%-12.5%
Q1 2025+2.8%+4.0%+8.0%
Q4 2024-1.6%-3.9%-2.7%
Q3 2024-6.7%-4.4%-1.7%
Q2 2024+8.7%+13.3%+12.6%
Q1 2024-11.9%-12.8%-10.7%
Q4 2023+6.7%+6.5%+11.4%
Q3 2023-9.2%-6.8%+5.8%
Q2 2023+2.8%+2.3%-11.0%
Q1 2023+0.5%-1.3%-10.7%
Q4 2022+9.8%+7.5%+1.7%
Q3 2022+12.2%+15.8%+28.5%
Q2 2022+10.2%+6.9%+16.6%
Q1 2022+1.6%+0.4%-0.4%
Q4 2021+20.0%+15.5%+7.4%
Q3 2021+4.3%+12.2%+5.4%
Q2 2021-8.6%-6.8%-9.7%
Q1 2021+14.4%+18.9%+21.2%
Q4 2020-17.8%-16.1%-12.5%
Q3 2020+16.8%+13.4%+41.3%
Q2 2020-3.6%-11.1%-3.9%
Q1 2020+28.6%+7.7%+23.8%
Q4 2019-2.9%-4.1%-10.5%
Q3 2019+6.7%+6.2%-3.5%
Q2 2019+4.1%+4.7%-6.7%
Q1 2019-4.9%-6.6%-13.7%
Q4 2018-0.4%+0.1%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.6%-7.1%+3.5%
Q2 2018+8.8%+7.1%+3.1%
Q1 2018+3.2%+2.0%+2.0%
Q4 2017-12.4%-14.1%-18.4%
Q3 2017+3.1%+6.3%+3.3%
Q2 2017-6.2%-7.2%-9.4%
Q1 2017-5.0%-6.0%-11.2%
Q4 2016-2.3%-2.5%+1.2%
Q3 2016+10.2%+13.4%+16.9%
Q2 2016+4.6%+1.7%+3.9%
Q1 2016-0.0%
Q4 2015+6.7%
Q3 2015-16.1%
Q2 2015+6.7%
Q1 2015-9.0%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014-3.7%
Q1 2014+6.2%
Q4 2013-3.7%
Q3 2013-2.4%
Q2 2013-0.9%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q3 2012+6.5%
Q2 2012-4.7%
Q1 2012+5.0%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q4 2011+0.5%
Q3 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011-7.0%
Q1 2011-1.0%
Q3 2010+6.4%
Q2 2010+0.6%
Q1 2009-4.3%
Q1 2010+1.4%
Q4 2007+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%
Q3 2009-5.3%
Q3 2008-5.3%
Q4 2008+4.7%
Q2 2008+4.7%
Q2 2009+4.7%

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