NYSE$HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Harley-Davidson reported fourth quarter and full-year 2020 results, resetting its business to execute The Hardwire Strategic Plan.
Harley-Davidson's Q4 2020 revenue was $725 million, a 32% decrease compared to Q4 2019. The company reported a net loss of $96 million, with a diluted EPS of -$0.63. Despite the challenging quarter, Harley-Davidson highlighted its progress in overhauling the company through The Rewire, building a foundation for its new 5-year strategic plan, The Hardwire.
- Delivered full year diluted EPS of $0.01 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.77.
- Increased cash flow from operations $310 million from 2019 to $1.2 billion.
- Streamlined product portfolio reducing planned number of models by 30 percent.
- Dealer year-end inventory reduced 59 percent, driving improvements in motorcycle transaction prices and enhancing motorcycle value.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Harley-Davidson · Revenue · Quarterly
$531M
Revenue by segment
Harley-Davidson · $531M total across 5 segments · Q4 2020
- Motorcycles$320M-52.0%60.3%
- Parts & Accessories$146M+13.3%27.6%
- Apparel$49.7M-13.0%9.4%
- Licensing$7.92M-10.1%1.5%
- Other HDMC$6.9M-45.0%1.3%
Forward guidance
Harley-Davidson is focused on executing its new 5-year strategic plan, The Hardwire, through 2025. The plan aims to enhance the company's position as the most desirable motorcycle brand in the world.
Tailwinds
- Strengthening existing business while allowing for desirable growth
- Successfully adjust to shifting global consumer needs and interests
- Successfully carry out its global manufacturing and assembly operations
- Develop and introduce products, services and experiences on a timely basis that the market accepts
- Successfully manage and reduce costs throughout the business
Headwinds
- COVID-19 pandemic, including the length and severity of the pandemic across the globe and the pace of recovery following the pandemic
- Inability to execute its business plans and strategies, including The Hardwire
- Inability to accurately analyze, predict and react to changing market conditions
- Inability to successfully access the capital and/or credit markets on terms that are acceptable to the company
- Inability to manage supply chain issues, including quality issues and any unexpected interruptions or price increases caused by raw material shortages or natural disasters
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+1.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.6%
Avg return
30 days after
57%
41 / 72 earnings
Positive
+28.6%
Q1 2020
Best reaction
-17.8%
Q4 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | +9.4% | +5.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +4.0% | +1.4% | -10.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | -6.6% | -5.6% | -12.5% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.8% | +4.0% | +8.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -6.7% | -4.4% | -1.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +8.7% | +13.3% | +12.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | -11.9% | -12.8% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | +6.7% | +6.5% | +11.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | -9.2% | -6.8% | +5.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +2.8% | +2.3% | -11.0% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.5% | -1.3% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | +9.8% | +7.5% | +1.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | +12.2% | +15.8% | +28.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.2% | +6.9% | +16.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | +1.6% | +0.4% | -0.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +20.0% | +15.5% | +7.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.3% | +12.2% | +5.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -8.6% | -6.8% | -9.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +14.4% | +18.9% | +21.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | -17.8% | -16.1% | -12.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +16.8% | +13.4% | +41.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | -3.6% | -11.1% | -3.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | +28.6% | +7.7% | +23.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.9% | -4.1% | -10.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | +6.7% | +6.2% | -3.5% | |
| Q2 2019 | +4.1% | +4.7% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | -6.6% | -13.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | -2.6% | -7.1% | +3.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | +8.8% | +7.1% | +3.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -12.4% | -14.1% | -18.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | +3.1% | +6.3% | +3.3% | |
| Q2 2017 | -6.2% | -7.2% | -9.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -5.0% | -6.0% | -11.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.3% | -2.5% | +1.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | +10.2% | +13.4% | +16.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.6% | +1.7% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -16.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -9.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +6.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -7.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +6.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +4.7% | — | — |
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