NYSE$HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc · Q3 2023 earnings
Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Harley-Davidson reported a decrease in revenue and operating income due to a decline in motorcycle shipments, partially offset by growth in financial services.
Harley-Davidson's Q3 2023 results reflect a challenging macro environment, with a 6% decrease in consolidated revenue and a 38% decrease in operating income. HDMC revenue declined by 9%, while HDFS revenue increased by 15%. The company reaffirms its full-year 2023 outlook.
- Strategy remains grounded in desirability and profitability.
- Successful launch of two new CVO motorcycles, CVO retail sales up +25%, with new features aligning with consumer preferences.
- HDMC Revenue declined 9%, behind a 20% decrease in wholesale shipments.
- LiveWire commenced production and launch of the Del Mar electric motorcycle.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Harley-Davidson · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.55B
Revenue by segment
Harley-Davidson · $2.96B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023
- Parts & Accessories$1.85B+819.4%62.4%
- Motorcycles$1.02B-9.8%34.6%
- Apparel$49.3M-29.5%1.7%
- Other HDMC$30.2M+37.1%1.0%
- Licensing$9.59M-12.9%0.3%
Forward guidance
The Company reaffirms its most recent guidance and continues to expect: •HDMC: revenue growth of flat to 3% and operating income margin of 13.9 to 14.3% •HDFS: operating income decline of 20 to 25% •LiveWire: motorcycle unit sales of 600–1,000 and operating loss of $115 to $125 million •Harley-Davidson, Inc.: capital investments of $225 to $250 million
Tailwinds
- HDMC: revenue growth of flat to 3%
- HDMC: operating income margin of 13.9 to 14.3%
- HDFS: operating income decline of 20 to 25%
- LiveWire: motorcycle unit sales of 600–1,000
- Harley-Davidson, Inc.: capital investments of $225 to $250 million
Headwinds
- challenging macro and consumer backdrop
- HDMC Revenue declined 9%, behind a 20% decrease in wholesale shipments
- HDFS operating income decline of $22 million, or down 27 percent, was driven by an increased provision for credit losses and higher interest expense.
- LiveWire operating loss of $25 million in the third quarter, in-line with expectations, was driven by product development and other spending associated with the launch of the Del Mar electric motorcycle.
- Global retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the third quarter were down 16 percent versus prior year, adversely impacted primarily by macro conditions in key geographies.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023
+1.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.6%
Avg return
30 days after
57%
41 / 72 earnings
Positive
+28.6%
Q1 2020
Best reaction
-17.8%
Q4 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +1.4% | +9.4% | +5.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | +4.0% | +1.4% | -10.8% | |
| Q3 2025 | -6.6% | -5.6% | -12.5% | |
| Q1 2025 | +2.8% | +4.0% | +8.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | -6.7% | -4.4% | -1.7% | |
| Q2 2024 | +8.7% | +13.3% | +12.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | -11.9% | -12.8% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | +6.7% | +6.5% | +11.4% | |
| Q3 2023 | -9.2% | -6.8% | +5.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +2.8% | +2.3% | -11.0% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.5% | -1.3% | -10.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | +9.8% | +7.5% | +1.7% | |
| Q3 2022 | +12.2% | +15.8% | +28.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | +10.2% | +6.9% | +16.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | +1.6% | +0.4% | -0.4% | |
| Q4 2021 | +20.0% | +15.5% | +7.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.3% | +12.2% | +5.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -8.6% | -6.8% | -9.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | +14.4% | +18.9% | +21.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | -17.8% | -16.1% | -12.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +16.8% | +13.4% | +41.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | -3.6% | -11.1% | -3.9% | |
| Q1 2020 | +28.6% | +7.7% | +23.8% | |
| Q4 2019 | -2.9% | -4.1% | -10.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | +6.7% | +6.2% | -3.5% | |
| Q2 2019 | +4.1% | +4.7% | -6.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -4.9% | -6.6% | -13.7% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2018 | -2.6% | -7.1% | +3.5% | |
| Q2 2018 | +8.8% | +7.1% | +3.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | -12.4% | -14.1% | -18.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | +3.1% | +6.3% | +3.3% | |
| Q2 2017 | -6.2% | -7.2% | -9.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -5.0% | -6.0% | -11.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.3% | -2.5% | +1.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | +10.2% | +13.4% | +16.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | +4.6% | +1.7% | +3.9% | |
| Q1 2016 | -0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -16.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +6.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -9.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +6.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -3.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +6.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +0.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -7.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +6.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -4.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +1.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2007 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | -5.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +4.7% | — | — |
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