NYSE$GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Generac experienced strong margin expansion and record free cash flow generation in Q4 2023, with net sales increasing slightly and the company initiating a positive outlook for 2024.

Generac reported a 1% increase in net sales to $1.06 billion for Q4 2023 compared to the prior year. The company saw improvements in net income and adjusted EBITDA, along with record cash flow from operations and free cash flow. They are initiating full-year 2024 net sales growth guidance to be approximately 3 to 7%.

  • Net sales increased 1% to $1.06 billion compared to Q4 2022.
  • Net income attributable to the company was $97 million, or $1.57 per share, compared to $71 million, or $0.83 per share, for the same period of 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $213 million, or 20.0% of net sales, compared to $174 million, or 16.6% of net sales, in the prior year.
  • Cash flow from operations was a record $317 million, and free cash flow was a record $266 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.06B

Previous: $1.05B+1.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.07

Previous: $1.78+16.3%
Gross Margin

36.5%

Previous: 32.7%+11.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$83.9M

Previous: $21.4M-493.0%
Net Income

$97M

Previous: $71M+36.6%
Operating Income

$142M

Previous: $107M+32.4%
Gross Profit

$387M

Previous: $343M+12.8%
R&D Expense

$44.4M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$5.19M

Previous: $6.06M-14.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Generac · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.06B

Q4 2023+1.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Generac · $950M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Products
    $565M-14.9%
  • C&I Products
    $385M+23.8%

Forward guidance

The company is initiating guidance for full-year 2024 that anticipates a return to net sales growth as compared to the prior year. Full-year net sales are expected to increase between 3 to 7% as compared to the prior year, which includes a slight favorable impact from foreign currency. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be approximately 16.5 to 17.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Return to consolidated sales growth
  • Year-over-year margin expansion for the full year period
  • Continued investment for future growth
  • Residential product sales growth in the mid-teens range
  • Strong levels of operating and free cash flow generation

Headwinds

  • C&I product sales are expected to decline at a rate of approximately 10%
  • Weakness with certain direct telecom customers
  • Weakness with rental customers
  • Weakness with beyond standby customers
  • Reliance on electricity continues to increase and supply-demand imbalances remain a challenge for grid operators

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-27.8%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.4%+18.4%+28.1%
Q4 2025+17.9%+23.1%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.0%-13.9%-20.3%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.0%+7.9%
Q4 2024+7.6%+3.6%-8.0%
Q3 2024+2.3%+10.1%+14.0%
Q2 2024-6.5%-8.5%+0.6%
Q1 2024-5.4%+0.3%+8.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q3 2023+18.2%+21.9%+45.5%
Q2 2023-27.8%-27.9%-22.5%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.5%+11.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%+1.2%-9.6%
Q3 2022-11.6%-14.6%-12.2%
Q2 2022-8.6%-5.5%-16.2%
Q1 2022+11.3%-2.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.5%+15.4%
Q3 2021-10.4%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-8.9%-0.4%
Q1 2021+2.5%-1.0%+4.0%
Q4 2020+17.8%+26.3%+18.6%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.3%+6.6%
Q2 2020+12.8%+17.8%+35.3%
Q1 2020-10.0%-4.1%+7.3%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.3%-12.5%
Q3 2019-0.9%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019-1.8%-0.3%+7.9%
Q1 2019+9.4%+7.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.1%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.0%+6.7%+12.2%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.6%+3.2%
Q1 2018-0.1%+4.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017-2.9%-4.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.9%-6.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%+4.1%+10.3%
Q1 2017-5.7%-4.0%-6.6%
Q4 2016-5.0%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+5.1%+4.6%+15.3%
Q2 2016-5.1%+0.8%+6.4%
Q1 2016-7.4%
Q4 2015+17.1%
Q3 2015+19.0%
Q2 2015-17.6%
Q1 2015-14.0%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-6.1%
Q2 2014-4.8%
Q1 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013+13.4%
Q3 2013+20.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+11.1%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+20.5%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011+17.1%
Q1 2012+17.1%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+7.8%
Q2 2010+7.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q1 2010-4.8%

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