NYSE$GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Generac's Q3 2024 earnings report showed a return to robust overall sales growth with continued margin expansion, leading to an increased 2024 outlook due to recent major outage events.

Generac reported net sales of $1.17 billion, a 10% increase compared to the prior-year third quarter. Net income attributable to the company was $114 million, or $1.89 per share, compared to $60 million, or $0.97 per share, for the same period in 2023. Adjusted EBITDA was $232 million, representing 19.8% of net sales, compared to $189 million, or 17.6% of net sales, in the prior year. The company updated its full-year 2024 net sales growth guidance to 5 to 9% and adjusted EBITDA margin to 17.5 to 18.5%.

  • Net sales increased by approximately 10% to $1.17 billion compared to the prior-year third quarter.
  • Residential product sales increased approximately 28% to $723 million, while Commercial & Industrial product sales decreased approximately 15% to $328 million.
  • Net income attributable to the company during the third quarter was $114 million, or $1.89 per share, as compared to $60 million, or $0.97 per share, for the same period of 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $232 million, or 19.8% of net sales, as compared to $189 million, or 17.6% of net sales, in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.17B

Previous: $1.07B+9.6%
EPS

$1.89

Previous: $1.64+15.2%
Gross Margin

40.2%

Previous: 35.1%+14.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

19.8%

Previous: 17.6%+12.5%
Cash Flow from Operations

$212M

Previous: $140M+51.6%
Free Cash Flow

$184M

Previous: $117M+57.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$83.4M

Previous: -$77.7M-7.3%
Net Income

$114M

Previous: $60.4M+88.4%
Operating Income

$169M

Previous: $105M+60.9%
Gross Profit

$472M

Previous: $376M+25.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$214M

Previous: $162M+32.6%
Total Assets

$5.19B

Previous: $5.17B+0.4%
R&D Expense

$56.9M

Previous: $43.3M+31.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$13.1M

Previous: $9.93M+32.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Generac · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.17B

Q3 2024+9.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Generac · $950M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Products
    $565M-14.9%
  • C&I Products
    $385M+23.8%

Forward guidance

The Company is increasing its full-year 2024 net sales guidance to 5 to 9% compared to the prior year and expects adjusted EBITDA margin to be 17.5 to 18.5%.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales growth is expected between 5 to 9% for the full year 2024.
  • Residential product sales are expected to increase.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be approximately 17.5 to 18.5%.
  • Strong operating cash flow generation is expected for the full year.
  • Free cash flow conversion from adjusted net income is expected to be well above 100%.

Headwinds

  • Softer market conditions are expected for C&I product sales in certain end markets and geographies.
  • Softer market conditions are expected for Other product sales in certain end markets and geographies.
  • The guidance considers an outsized increase in Residential product sales, partially offset by softer market conditions for C&I and Other product sales in certain end markets and geographies.
  • The rapid adoption of renewable, intermittent power generation sources and accelerating demand for electricity will likely lead to additional stresses on our aging grid.
  • Elevated outage activity and growing grid related supply-demand imbalances are expected to drive both continued near-term demand as well as long-term awareness of the growing need for backup power products.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-27.8%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.4%+18.4%+28.1%
Q4 2025+17.9%+23.1%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.0%-13.9%-20.3%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.0%+7.9%
Q4 2024+7.6%+3.6%-8.0%
Q3 2024+2.3%+10.1%+14.0%
Q2 2024-6.5%-8.5%+0.6%
Q1 2024-5.4%+0.3%+8.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q3 2023+18.2%+21.9%+45.5%
Q2 2023-27.8%-27.9%-22.5%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.5%+11.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%+1.2%-9.6%
Q3 2022-11.6%-14.6%-12.2%
Q2 2022-8.6%-5.5%-16.2%
Q1 2022+11.3%-2.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.5%+15.4%
Q3 2021-10.4%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-8.9%-0.4%
Q1 2021+2.5%-1.0%+4.0%
Q4 2020+17.8%+26.3%+18.6%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.3%+6.6%
Q2 2020+12.8%+17.8%+35.3%
Q1 2020-10.0%-4.1%+7.3%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.3%-12.5%
Q3 2019-0.9%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019-1.8%-0.3%+7.9%
Q1 2019+9.4%+7.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.1%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.0%+6.7%+12.2%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.6%+3.2%
Q1 2018-0.1%+4.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017-2.9%-4.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.9%-6.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%+4.1%+10.3%
Q1 2017-5.7%-4.0%-6.6%
Q4 2016-5.0%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+5.1%+4.6%+15.3%
Q2 2016-5.1%+0.8%+6.4%
Q1 2016-7.4%
Q4 2015+17.1%
Q3 2015+19.0%
Q2 2015-17.6%
Q1 2015-14.0%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-6.1%
Q2 2014-4.8%
Q1 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013+13.4%
Q3 2013+20.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+11.1%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+20.5%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011+17.1%
Q1 2012+17.1%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+7.8%
Q2 2010+7.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q1 2010-4.8%

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