NYSE$GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Generac's Q3 2023 earnings reflected a decrease in net sales, but an increase in net income and adjusted EBITDA. The company experienced growth in C&I product sales and margin expansion, along with substantial free cash flow generation.

Generac's Q3 2023 saw a slight decrease in net sales by 2% to $1.07 billion, but net income increased to $60 million, or $0.97 per share. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $189 million, representing 17.6% of net sales, and the company generated $117 million in free cash flow.

  • Net sales decreased 2% to $1.07 billion compared to the prior-year third quarter.
  • Net income attributable to the company increased to $60 million, or $0.97 per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $189 million, or 17.6% of net sales.
  • Free cash flow was $117 million, a significant increase compared to $(73) million in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.07B

Previous: $1.09B-1.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.64

Previous: $1.75-6.3%
Gross Margin

35.1%

Previous: 33.2%+5.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

17.6%

Previous: 16.9%+4.1%
Cash Flow from Operations

$140M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$117M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$77.7M

Previous: -$64.8M-19.9%
Net Income

$60.4M

Previous: $58.3M+3.6%
Operating Income

$105M

Previous: $87.5M+19.7%
Gross Profit

$376M

Previous: $361M+4.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$162M

Previous: $230M-29.7%
Total Assets

$5.17B

Previous: $5.25B-1.5%
R&D Expense

$43.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$9.93M

Previous: $6.86M+44.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Generac · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.07B

Q3 2023-1.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Generac · $950M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Products
    $565M-14.9%
  • C&I Products
    $385M+23.8%

Forward guidance

The Company is maintaining its overall full-year 2023 net sales guidance for a decline of approximately -10 to -12% as compared to the prior year, which includes approximately 2% of net favorable impact from acquisitions and foreign currency. Additionally, the Company now expects net income margin, before deducting for non-controlling interests, to be approximately 5.0 to 6.0% for the full-year 2023 compared to the prior guidance range of 6.0 to 7.0%. The corresponding adjusted EBITDA margin is still expected to be approximately 15.5% to 16.5%, in line with the previous guidance. Operating and free cash flow generation are expected to return to strong levels for the full year, with conversion of adjusted net income to free cash flow expected to be well over 100%.

Tailwinds

  • Maintaining full-year net sales guidance.
  • Expect approximately 2% of net favorable impact from acquisitions and foreign currency.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin is still expected to be approximately 15.5% to 16.5%.
  • Operating and free cash flow generation are expected to return to strong levels for the full year.
  • Conversion of adjusted net income to free cash flow expected to be well over 100%.

Headwinds

  • Net sales are expected to decline approximately -10 to -12% compared to the prior year.
  • Net income margin is expected to be approximately 5.0 to 6.0% for the full-year 2023 compared to the prior guidance range of 6.0 to 7.0%.
  • Decline in residential product sales.
  • Unfavorable sales mix impacted gross margin.
  • Increased employee and marketing costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-27.8%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.4%+18.4%+28.1%
Q4 2025+17.9%+23.1%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.0%-13.9%-20.3%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.0%+7.9%
Q4 2024+7.6%+3.6%-8.0%
Q3 2024+2.3%+10.1%+14.0%
Q2 2024-6.5%-8.5%+0.6%
Q1 2024-5.4%+0.3%+8.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q3 2023+18.2%+21.9%+45.5%
Q2 2023-27.8%-27.9%-22.5%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.5%+11.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%+1.2%-9.6%
Q3 2022-11.6%-14.6%-12.2%
Q2 2022-8.6%-5.5%-16.2%
Q1 2022+11.3%-2.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.5%+15.4%
Q3 2021-10.4%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-8.9%-0.4%
Q1 2021+2.5%-1.0%+4.0%
Q4 2020+17.8%+26.3%+18.6%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.3%+6.6%
Q2 2020+12.8%+17.8%+35.3%
Q1 2020-10.0%-4.1%+7.3%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.3%-12.5%
Q3 2019-0.9%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019-1.8%-0.3%+7.9%
Q1 2019+9.4%+7.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.1%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.0%+6.7%+12.2%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.6%+3.2%
Q1 2018-0.1%+4.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017-2.9%-4.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.9%-6.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%+4.1%+10.3%
Q1 2017-5.7%-4.0%-6.6%
Q4 2016-5.0%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+5.1%+4.6%+15.3%
Q2 2016-5.1%+0.8%+6.4%
Q1 2016-7.4%
Q4 2015+17.1%
Q3 2015+19.0%
Q2 2015-17.6%
Q1 2015-14.0%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-6.1%
Q2 2014-4.8%
Q1 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013+13.4%
Q3 2013+20.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+11.1%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+20.5%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011+17.1%
Q1 2012+17.1%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+7.8%
Q2 2010+7.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q1 2010-4.8%

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