NYSE$GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Generac reported record fourth quarter results driven by robust residential product demand and strategic acquisitions.

Generac's Q4 2020 net sales increased by 29% to a record $761 million, driven by strong residential product sales. The company's net income attributable to the company was $125 million, or $1.97 per share, compared to $70 million, or $1.12 per share, for the same period of 2019.

  • Net sales increased 29% to a record $761 million.
  • Residential product sales increased 55% to $499 million.
  • Net income attributable to the Company during the fourth quarter was $125 million, or $1.97 per share.
  • Cash flow from operations was a record $218 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$761M

Previous: $591M+28.8%
EPS (adj)

$2.12

Previous: $1.53+38.6%
Gross Margin

39.4%

Previous: 37.6%+4.8%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

25.7%

Previous: 21.9%+17.4%
Cash Flow from Operations

$218M

Previous: $175M+24.5%
Free Cash Flow

$191M

Previous: $160M+19.2%
Capital Expenditures

$28.2M

Previous: $15.4M+83.6%
Net Income

$125M

Previous: $69.6M+79.6%
Operating Income

$135M

Previous: $105M+29.2%
Gross Profit

$300M

Previous: $222M+35.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$396M

Previous: $323M+22.6%
Total Assets

$3.51B

Previous: $2.67B+31.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.56M

Previous: $5.22M+25.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Generac · Revenue · Quarterly

$761M

Q4 2020+28.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Generac · $698M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Residential Products
    $499M+54.7%
  • C&I Products
    $199M-8.3%

Forward guidance

The Company is initiating its full-year 2021 net sales growth guidance to be approximately 25 to 30% compared to the prior year on an as-reported basis. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be approximately 24.0 to 25.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Key demand metrics for home standby generators continued to trend much higher.
  • The solar plus storage market is projected to experience significant year-over-year growth during 2021.
  • Shipments for C&I products are expected to return to growth across a number of key end markets and geographies.
  • Net sales are expected to increase between 25 to 30%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expected to be approximately 24.0 to 25.0%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-27.8%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.4%+18.4%+28.1%
Q4 2025+17.9%+23.1%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.0%-13.9%-20.3%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.0%+7.9%
Q4 2024+7.6%+3.6%-8.0%
Q3 2024+2.3%+10.1%+14.0%
Q2 2024-6.5%-8.5%+0.6%
Q1 2024-5.4%+0.3%+8.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q3 2023+18.2%+21.9%+45.5%
Q2 2023-27.8%-27.9%-22.5%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.5%+11.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%+1.2%-9.6%
Q3 2022-11.6%-14.6%-12.2%
Q2 2022-8.6%-5.5%-16.2%
Q1 2022+11.3%-2.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.5%+15.4%
Q3 2021-10.4%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-8.9%-0.4%
Q1 2021+2.5%-1.0%+4.0%
Q4 2020+17.8%+26.3%+18.6%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.3%+6.6%
Q2 2020+12.8%+17.8%+35.3%
Q1 2020-10.0%-4.1%+7.3%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.3%-12.5%
Q3 2019-0.9%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019-1.8%-0.3%+7.9%
Q1 2019+9.4%+7.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.1%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.0%+6.7%+12.2%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.6%+3.2%
Q1 2018-0.1%+4.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017-2.9%-4.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.9%-6.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%+4.1%+10.3%
Q1 2017-5.7%-4.0%-6.6%
Q4 2016-5.0%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+5.1%+4.6%+15.3%
Q2 2016-5.1%+0.8%+6.4%
Q1 2016-7.4%
Q4 2015+17.1%
Q3 2015+19.0%
Q2 2015-17.6%
Q1 2015-14.0%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-6.1%
Q2 2014-4.8%
Q1 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013+13.4%
Q3 2013+20.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+11.1%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+20.5%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011+17.1%
Q1 2012+17.1%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+7.8%
Q2 2010+7.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q1 2010-4.8%

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