NYSE$GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Generac's financial performance declined due to decreased residential product sales, though C&I sales increased. The company maintains its full-year 2023 net sales and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance.

Generac reported a decrease in net sales by 22% to $888 million compared to the prior year, with residential product sales declining significantly while commercial and industrial sales increased. Net income decreased to $12 million, or $0.05 per share, and adjusted EBITDA was $100 million, or 11.3% of net sales. The company is maintaining its full-year 2023 net sales and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance.

  • Net sales decreased by 22% to $888 million, with core sales down approximately 24%.
  • Residential product sales declined by 46% to $419 million, while Commercial & Industrial product sales increased by 30% to $363 million.
  • Net income was $12 million, or $0.05 per share, compared to $114 million, or $1.57 per share, in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $100 million, or 11.3% of net sales, compared to $196 million, or 17.3% of net sales, in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$888M

Previous: $1.14B-21.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.63

Previous: $2.09-69.9%
Gross Margin

30.7%

Previous: 31.8%-3.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

11.3%

Previous: 17.3%-34.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$24M

Previous: -$28.2M+15.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.5M

Previous: $85.7M-113.5%
Net Income

$12.4M

Previous: $114M-89.1%
Operating Income

$44.5M

Previous: $155M-71.3%
Gross Profit

$272M

Previous: $361M-24.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$137M

Previous: $206M-33.3%
Total Assets

$5.21B

Previous: $5.15B+1.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.3M

Previous: $8.83M+17.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Generac · Revenue · Quarterly

$888M

Q1 2023-21.8%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Generac · $782M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Residential Products
    $419M-46.1%
  • C&I Products
    $363M+30.1%

Forward guidance

The Company is maintaining its full-year 2023 net sales guidance of a decline of approximately -6 to -10%. Adjusted EBITDA margin, before deducting for non-controlling interests, is still expected to be approximately 17.0 to 18.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year net sales guidance maintained at a decline of -6% to -10%.
  • Acquisitions and foreign currency to have a net favorable impact of approximately 1 to 2%.
  • Net income margin expected to be approximately 7.5 to 8.5% for the full year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin still expected to be approximately 17.0 to 18.0%.
  • Operating and free cash flow generation is expected to return to strong levels for the full year, with conversion of adjusted net income to free cash flow expected to be well over 100%.

Headwinds

  • Shipments of residential products are expected to remain soft during the second quarter.
  • Home standby field inventory levels continue to normalize.
  • First half decline is expected in residential sales.
  • challenging prior year comparison related to the significant excess backlog for home standby products as we entered 2022
  • residential product sales in the current year quarter were impacted by elevated levels of field inventory for home standby generators and a decline in clean energy products as we continue to expand our distribution network.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-27.8%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.4%+18.4%+28.1%
Q4 2025+17.9%+23.1%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.0%-13.9%-20.3%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.0%+7.9%
Q4 2024+7.6%+3.6%-8.0%
Q3 2024+2.3%+10.1%+14.0%
Q2 2024-6.5%-8.5%+0.6%
Q1 2024-5.4%+0.3%+8.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q3 2023+18.2%+21.9%+45.5%
Q2 2023-27.8%-27.9%-22.5%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.5%+11.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%+1.2%-9.6%
Q3 2022-11.6%-14.6%-12.2%
Q2 2022-8.6%-5.5%-16.2%
Q1 2022+11.3%-2.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.5%+15.4%
Q3 2021-10.4%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-8.9%-0.4%
Q1 2021+2.5%-1.0%+4.0%
Q4 2020+17.8%+26.3%+18.6%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.3%+6.6%
Q2 2020+12.8%+17.8%+35.3%
Q1 2020-10.0%-4.1%+7.3%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.3%-12.5%
Q3 2019-0.9%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019-1.8%-0.3%+7.9%
Q1 2019+9.4%+7.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.1%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.0%+6.7%+12.2%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.6%+3.2%
Q1 2018-0.1%+4.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017-2.9%-4.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.9%-6.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%+4.1%+10.3%
Q1 2017-5.7%-4.0%-6.6%
Q4 2016-5.0%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+5.1%+4.6%+15.3%
Q2 2016-5.1%+0.8%+6.4%
Q1 2016-7.4%
Q4 2015+17.1%
Q3 2015+19.0%
Q2 2015-17.6%
Q1 2015-14.0%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-6.1%
Q2 2014-4.8%
Q1 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013+13.4%
Q3 2013+20.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+11.1%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+20.5%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011+17.1%
Q1 2012+17.1%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+7.8%
Q2 2010+7.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q1 2010-4.8%

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