NYSE$GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Generac's Q2 2020 earnings dramatically exceeded expectations, driven by substantial growth in residential products and an emerging "Home as a Sanctuary" trend.

Generac reported record second-quarter results, with net sales increasing to $546.8 million and net income attributable to the Company reaching $66.1 million, or $1.02 per share. The company's performance was primarily driven by robust demand for home standby generators, leading to an increase in the full-year 2020 sales growth guidance to approximately 5 to 8%.

  • Net sales increased to $546.8 million, compared to $541.9 million in the prior-year second quarter.
  • Residential product sales increased 27.2% to $341.4 million, while Commercial & Industrial product sales decreased 32.8% to $154.9 million.
  • Net income attributable to the Company was $66.1 million, or $1.02 per share, compared to $62.0 million, or $0.98 per share, for the same period of 2019.
  • The Company is increasing its full-year 2020 sales growth guidance to now be approximately 5 to 8% of positive year-over-year growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$547M

Previous: $542M+0.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.40

Previous: $1.20+16.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

22.5%

Previous: 20.6%+9.2%
Cash Flow from Operations

$102M

Previous: $8M+1172.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$26.3M

Previous: -$34.4M+23.4%
Free Cash Flow

$39.8M

Previous: $27.6M+44.3%
Net Income

$66.1M

Previous: $62M+6.8%
Operating Income

$89.6M

Previous: $90.9M-1.5%
Gross Profit

$209M

Previous: $196M+6.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$397M

Previous: $110M+259.5%
Total Assets

$2.77B

Previous: $2.52B+9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.4M

Previous: $4.33M+24.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Generac · Revenue · Quarterly

$547M

Q2 2020+0.9%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Generac · $496M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Residential Products
    $341M+27.2%
  • C&I Products
    $155M-32.8%

Forward guidance

The Company is raising its prior guidance for revenue growth for full-year 2020, and now expects an increase of approximately 5 to 8% compared to the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected to be approximately 21.5 to 22.0%.

Tailwinds

  • Residential products benefitting from the emerging “Home as a Sanctuary” trend.
  • Backup power for residential applications has now become more important than ever.
  • Residential products have historically proven to be more resilient and tend to decouple from the broader economic environment.
  • Demand is more driven by power outages.
  • Net income margin, before deducting for non-controlling interests, is now expected to be approximately 12.0 to 12.5% for the full-year 2020

Headwinds

  • Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global C&I products is particularly severe.
  • Guidance assumes a level of power outages in line with the longer-term baseline average.
  • Guidance assumes the benefit of one significant power shut-off event in California.
  • Guidance assumes a recovery of the solar market in the second half of the year.
  • There remains a high degree of uncertainty around the magnitude and timing of an economic recovery

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.5%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-27.8%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+18.4%+18.4%+28.1%
Q4 2025+17.9%+23.1%+10.0%
Q3 2025-5.0%-13.9%-20.3%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.0%+7.9%
Q4 2024+7.6%+3.6%-8.0%
Q3 2024+2.3%+10.1%+14.0%
Q2 2024-6.5%-8.5%+0.6%
Q1 2024-5.4%+0.3%+8.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q3 2023+18.2%+21.9%+45.5%
Q2 2023-27.8%-27.9%-22.5%
Q1 2023+6.1%+7.5%+11.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%+1.2%-9.6%
Q3 2022-11.6%-14.6%-12.2%
Q2 2022-8.6%-5.5%-16.2%
Q1 2022+11.3%-2.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.5%+15.4%
Q3 2021-10.4%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-8.9%-0.4%
Q1 2021+2.5%-1.0%+4.0%
Q4 2020+17.8%+26.3%+18.6%
Q3 2020+4.3%+2.3%+6.6%
Q2 2020+12.8%+17.8%+35.3%
Q1 2020-10.0%-4.1%+7.3%
Q4 2019-0.4%-2.3%-12.5%
Q3 2019-0.9%+1.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019-1.8%-0.3%+7.9%
Q1 2019+9.4%+7.2%+0.6%
Q4 2018+2.9%+3.1%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.0%+6.7%+12.2%
Q2 2018+3.1%+2.6%+3.2%
Q1 2018-0.1%+4.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017-2.9%-4.8%-3.5%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.9%-6.5%
Q2 2017+2.5%+4.1%+10.3%
Q1 2017-5.7%-4.0%-6.6%
Q4 2016-5.0%-5.1%-9.7%
Q3 2016+5.1%+4.6%+15.3%
Q2 2016-5.1%+0.8%+6.4%
Q1 2016-7.4%
Q4 2015+17.1%
Q3 2015+19.0%
Q2 2015-17.6%
Q1 2015-14.0%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-6.1%
Q2 2014-4.8%
Q1 2014-6.6%
Q4 2013+13.4%
Q3 2013+20.5%
Q2 2013+5.7%
Q1 2013+11.1%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012+20.5%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2011+17.1%
Q1 2012+17.1%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+7.8%
Q2 2010+7.8%
Q4 2010+3.5%
Q3 2010+3.4%
Q1 2010-4.8%

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