NYSE$ETSY

Etsy Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an 18% increase in consolidated year-over-year GMS growth and 18% year-over-year revenue growth.

Etsy, Inc. reported its Q3 2021 results, with consolidated GMS increasing by 17.9% year-over-year to $3.1 billion and consolidated revenue increasing by 17.9% to $532.4 million. Net income was $89.9 million, a decrease of 2.0% year-over-year, and non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA was $174.2 million.

  • Consolidated GMS was $3.1 billion, up 17.9% year-over-year.
  • Consolidated revenue was $532.4 million, up 17.9% versus the third quarter of 2020.
  • Net income was $89.9 million, down 2.0% year-over-year, with diluted earnings per share of $0.62.
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA was $174.2 million, with Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA margin of 33%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$532M

Previous: $451M+17.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.62

Previous: $0.79-21.5%
Gross Merchandise Sales

$3.11B

Previous: $2.63B+17.9%
Active Sellers

7.5K

Previous: 3.7K+102.7%
Active Buyers

96.0K

Previous: 69.6K+37.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.74M

Previous: -$388K-1379.4%
Free Cash Flow

$84.2M

Previous: $91.4M-7.9%
Net Income

$89.9M

Previous: $91.8M-2.0%
Operating Income

$83.7M

Previous: $118M-29.1%
Gross Profit

$379M

Previous: $331M+14.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$619M

Previous: $1.14B-45.9%
Total Assets

$3.5B

Previous: $2.21B+58.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$42.3M

Previous: $17.1M+146.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Etsy · Revenue · Quarterly

$532M

Q3 2021+17.9%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Etsy · $532M total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Marketplace Revenue
    $396M+15.8%
  • Services Revenue
    $137M+24.6%

Forward guidance

Etsy provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2021, projecting GMS between $3.9 billion and $4.1 billion, revenue between $660 million and $690 million, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 26%.

Tailwinds

  • Etsy’s highly distributed supply chain, with creative entrepreneurs located around the globe, is ready to serve the world in ways many others can’t this holiday season.
  • The fourth quarter will be our best GMS quarter ever.
  • Shoppers have loved the experience they’ve had with Etsy and are coming back for more - even in a world of greatly expanded choice.
  • Etsy's is moving in a different direction from commoditized marketplaces.
  • Etsy has strong conviction to invest with discipline in what we see as a multi-trillion dollar market opportunity and to position Etsy for further growth in 2022 and beyond.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

20 / 44 earnings

Positive

+27.8%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-32.8%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.2%+1.4%+7.4%
Q4 2025+9.3%+23.5%+20.0%
Q3 2025-12.5%-18.3%-27.5%
Q1 2025-5.7%-2.3%+20.0%
Q4 2024-10.1%-7.1%-21.3%
Q3 2024+8.3%+10.1%+15.5%
Q2 2024-6.8%-14.1%-14.6%
Q1 2024-13.7%-9.0%-7.6%
Q4 2023-6.9%-5.2%-10.6%
Q3 2023-1.1%+1.3%+31.7%
Q2 2023-15.9%-14.4%-24.3%
Q1 2023-6.7%-6.5%-14.3%
Q4 2022+5.4%-3.4%-14.4%
Q3 2022+9.4%+8.5%+53.7%
Q2 2022+12.5%+11.1%+11.7%
Q1 2022-9.5%-14.1%-19.4%
Q4 2021+27.8%+35.2%+13.6%
Q3 2021+12.7%+8.4%-3.9%
Q2 2021-4.2%-3.9%+15.7%
Q1 2021-16.3%-11.3%-12.9%
Q4 2020+5.3%+14.0%-3.2%
Q3 2020-9.2%-13.3%+10.1%
Q2 2020+0.7%+3.8%-13.7%
Q1 2020+5.2%+10.3%+8.1%
Q4 2019+16.1%+17.9%-22.5%
Q3 2019-18.2%-17.8%-20.3%
Q2 2019-10.9%-17.4%-21.2%
Q1 2019-9.3%-14.5%-4.6%
Q4 2018+21.1%+28.4%+15.6%
Q3 2018+18.7%+23.5%+31.7%
Q2 2018+5.5%+10.9%+14.1%
Q1 2018-4.6%-4.5%+6.4%
Q4 2017+19.8%+21.7%+32.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%+0.8%+13.0%
Q2 2017+8.1%+11.4%+16.3%
Q1 2017-5.0%+5.4%+22.5%
Q4 2016-16.4%-20.3%-18.7%
Q3 2016-13.2%-11.8%-8.1%
Q2 2016+16.7%+16.1%+16.2%
Q1 2016+3.6%
Q4 2015-0.6%
Q3 2015-6.7%
Q2 2015-32.8%
Q1 2015-16.3%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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