NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith reported record sales and earnings, driven by resilient North America water heater demand and growth in China, with a positive outlook for 2024.

A. O. Smith delivered record sales for the third consecutive year, driven by strong demand in North America and growth in China. The company's Q4 performance showed significant increases in net earnings and adjusted earnings per share, contributing to a positive full-year outlook.

  • Record sales driven by resilient North America water heater demand.
  • Sales growth in China of 4% in local currency despite economic challenges.
  • Adjusted segment earnings increased due to higher water heater volumes.
  • Company expects sales to increase between 3% and 5% year-over-year in 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$988M

Previous: $936M+5.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.97

Previous: $0.86+12.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$29.9M

No prior period
Net Income

$137M

Previous: -$120M+214.3%
Operating Income

$177M

Previous: -$243M+172.8%
Gross Profit

$370M

Previous: $349M+6.1%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$988M

Q4 2023+5.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $943M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $710M+8.7%
  • Rest of World
    $233M+1.2%

Forward guidance

A. O. Smith projects growth in both sales and earnings for 2024, with optimism for continued end-market demand in North America and stability in China, as well as continued growth in India.

Tailwinds

  • Continued end-market demand in North America for water heating.
  • Rebound in boiler and water treatment volumes after 2023 corrections.
  • Overall growth with stability in China.
  • Continued mid-teens growth in India.
  • Strong balance sheet and free cash flow.

Headwinds

  • Potential impacts from future acquisitions are excluded from guidance.
  • Chinese economy continues to work through its challenges.
  • Softening in U.S. residential water heater demand.
  • Global inflationary pressures or a potential recession.
  • Instability in replacement markets.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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