NYSE$AOS
A O Smith Corp · Q3 2022 earnings
Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
A. O. Smith's Q3 2022 performance was affected by residential water heater de-stocking, partially offset by pricing actions and commercial water heater demand.
A. O. Smith reported a 4% decrease in net sales to $874.2 million, primarily due to residential water heater de-stocking. Net earnings decreased by 17% to $109.8 million, with EPS decreasing by 13% to $0.71. The company reaffirmed its revised 2022 EPS guidance of $1.29 to $1.39 and adjusted EPS guidance of $3.05 to $3.15.
- Net sales decreased by 4% to $874.2 million due to residential water heater de-stocking.
- Net earnings decreased by 17% to $109.8 million.
- Earnings per share decreased by 13% to $0.71.
- The company reaffirmed revised 2022 EPS guidance of $1.29 to $1.39 and adjusted EPS guidance of $3.05 to $3.15.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly
$874M
Revenue by segment
A O Smith · $883M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022
- North America$653M-0.8%73.9%
- Rest of World$230M-12.5%26.1%
Forward guidance
The company lowered its sales outlook for 2022 to an increase of between 5% and 7% year-over-year, including approximately $100 million from Giant. The company also lowered its full year 2022 EPS outlook to be between $1.29 and $1.39 and its adjusted EPS outlook to be between $3.05 and $3.15, an increase over 2021 of 5% at the mid-point.
Tailwinds
- Normalization of North America residential industry volumes is expected to persist through the remainder of 2022.
- Improved production efficiency is expected in the fourth quarter.
- Continued strength in the rest of the company's portfolio is expected to drive sequential earnings improvement.
- Supply chain improvements, particularly in the commercial business, have been realized.
- Manufacturing has been adjusted to reflect lower North America industry residential water heater volumes.
Headwinds
- Lower North America residential industry volumes are expected to persist through the remainder of 2022.
- COVID-19-related shutdowns in China are assumed to remain at current levels throughout the rest of the year.
- The potential impacts from future acquisitions are excluded from the company's guidance.
- The company's guidance assumes that COVID-19-related shutdowns in China do not significantly impact our operations or our employees, customers or suppliers.
- Normalization of North America residential industry volumes is expected to persist through the remainder of 2022.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022
+1.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.1%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.8%
Avg return
30 days after
59%
40 / 68 earnings
Positive
+17.5%
Q4 2022
Best reaction
-9.7%
Q2 2020
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -2.9% | -7.5% | -10.9% | |
| Q4 2025 | +5.9% | +9.9% | +12.2% | |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6% | -3.8% | -3.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | +3.5% | +5.7% | -0.1% | |
| Q4 2024 | -2.8% | -5.1% | -4.0% | |
| Q3 2024 | -1.7% | -2.2% | -7.2% | |
| Q2 2024 | -9.1% | -4.9% | -8.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | -4.4% | -4.8% | -2.6% | |
| Q4 2023 | -4.9% | -4.1% | +1.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | +4.0% | +7.0% | +16.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | -3.8% | -3.3% | -7.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +1.2% | +3.4% | -1.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | +17.5% | +15.9% | +13.6% | |
| Q3 2022 | +4.7% | +5.1% | +19.1% | |
| Q2 2022 | +4.5% | -0.1% | -3.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | -7.1% | -6.0% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | +1.0% | +1.1% | -7.1% | |
| Q3 2021 | +13.7% | +22.0% | +26.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.3% | +3.2% | +4.3% | |
| Q1 2021 | +1.8% | +7.5% | +6.8% | |
| Q4 2020 | +2.1% | +7.9% | +11.6% | |
| Q3 2020 | +0.4% | +3.6% | +10.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | -9.7% | -10.0% | -7.4% | |
| Q1 2020 | +4.0% | +6.7% | +20.5% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.1% | -2.6% | -8.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -1.9% | -2.1% | -5.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | +3.7% | -0.2% | +5.3% | |
| Q1 2019 | -5.9% | -3.9% | -26.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.8% | -0.1% | +7.7% | |
| Q3 2018 | +7.7% | +13.7% | +10.8% | |
| Q2 2018 | -0.3% | -1.6% | -2.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | +0.9% | -1.2% | +3.8% | |
| Q4 2017 | -0.1% | -3.3% | -7.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -3.6% | -4.4% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | -2.0% | -2.7% | -2.0% | |
| Q1 2017 | +1.7% | +0.5% | +2.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | +1.9% | +1.9% | +3.6% | |
| Q3 2016 | -3.9% | -3.4% | +5.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +5.6% | +4.7% | +7.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +5.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +6.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +6.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +9.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +6.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +4.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +2.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -0.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | -0.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +4.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +0.0% | — | — |
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