NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith's Q2 2023 earnings were driven by lower steel costs and continued strength in demand for North America commercial and residential water heater products.

A. O. Smith reported Q2 2023 sales of $961 million, a 1% decrease YoY. Net earnings of $157.0 million resulted in a record EPS of $1.04, a 28% increase YoY. The company raised its 2023 outlook to sales flat to up 2% and EPS between $3.38 and $3.53.

  • Sales decreased 1% to $961 million.
  • Record EPS of $1.04, a 28% increase YoY.
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.01, excluding non-cash after-tax income of $4.5 million related to the pension settlement.
  • Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow of $260.2 million and $236.0 million, respectively.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$961M

Previous: $966M-0.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.01

Previous: $0.82+23.2%
Free Cash Flow

$157M

Previous: $126M+24.4%
Net Income

$157M

Previous: $126M+24.4%
Operating Income

$227M

Previous: $178M+27.8%
Gross Profit

$385M

Previous: $334M+15.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$379M

Previous: $359M+5.4%
Total Assets

$3.25B

Previous: $3.32B-2.2%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$961M

Q2 2023-0.5%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $967M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • North America
    $722M-2.9%
  • Rest of World
    $244M+6.2%

Forward guidance

The company expects sales to be flat to up 2% compared to 2022. Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $3.45 and $3.60.

Tailwinds

  • Strong results in the second quarter
  • Resilience in North America water heater demand
  • Current view of our price cost relationship
  • Margin performance in the first half of the year.

Headwinds

  • Higher steel costs in North America in the back half of 2023
  • Some margin pressure due to higher steel costs

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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