NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net earnings and sales decline compared to the previous year, with North America segment performing steadily and Rest of World segment experiencing significant decline in earnings.

A. O. Smith reported Q4 2019 net earnings of $91.3 million, or $0.56 per share, on sales of $750.9 million. This compares to Q4 2018 net earnings of $126.3 million, or $0.74 per share, on sales of $812.5 million.

  • Q4 2019 sales decreased to $750.9 million from $812.5 million in Q4 2018.
  • Q4 2019 net earnings were $91.3 million, or $0.56 per share, down from $126.3 million, or $0.74 per share, in Q4 2018.
  • North America segment sales were essentially flat, while Rest of World segment sales declined by 21 percent.
  • The company increased its dividend by nine percent in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$751M

Previous: $813M-7.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.56

Previous: $0.74-24.3%
Net Income

$91.3M

Previous: $126M-27.7%
Operating Income

$115M

Previous: $151M-23.7%
Gross Profit

$295M

Previous: $337M-12.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$374M

Previous: $260M+44.0%
Total Assets

$3.06B

Previous: $3.07B-0.4%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$751M

Q4 2019-7.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $757M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • North America
    $523M
  • Rest of World
    $234M

Forward guidance

A. O. Smith expects total company full year sales in 2020 will grow between 4.5 and 5.5 percent and 2020 earnings will be between $2.40 and $2.50 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Acquisition was added to our North America water treatment portfolio
  • China channel inventory levels declined to be within the normal range of two to three months
  • We substantially completed our re-entry into the high-end of mid-price range products in China with new products specifically designed to target this demographic
  • Full implementation of our enterprise resource planning environment in North America is nearly complete.
  • Midpoint of 2020 earnings guidance represents a ten percent increase over 2019 earnings per share

Headwinds

  • Potential impact to its businesses from the developing coronavirus originating in China.
  • A further weakening of the Chinese economy and/or a further decline in the growth rate of consumer spending or housing sales in China
  • Negative impact to the company’s businesses from international tariffs and trade disputes
  • Potential weakening in the high efficiency boiler segment in the U.S.
  • Significant volatility in raw material prices

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro