NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith's Q3 2024 performance was impacted by lower sales in China and North America water heater volumes.

A. O. Smith reported a 4% decrease in sales to $903 million, primarily due to lower sales in China and North America. Net earnings decreased by 11% to $120 million, with diluted EPS decreasing by 9% to $0.82. The company reaffirmed its revised 2024 EPS outlook of $3.70 to $3.85.

  • Sales decreased by 4% to $903 million, driven by lower sales in China and North America.
  • Net earnings decreased by 11% to $120 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share decreased by 9% to $0.82.
  • The company reaffirmed its revised 2024 EPS outlook of $3.70 to $3.85.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$903M

Previous: $938M-3.7%
EPS

$0.82

Previous: $0.90-8.9%
NA Segment Margin

23.1%

No prior period
RoW Segment Margin

6.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$32.5M

Previous: -$18.5M-75.7%
Free Cash Flow

$120M

Previous: $135M-11.3%
Net Income

$120M

Previous: $135M-11.3%
Operating Income

$176M

Previous: $193M-8.9%
Gross Profit

$337M

Previous: $356M-5.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$219M

Previous: $281M-22.0%
Total Assets

$3.15B

Previous: $3.2B-1.4%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$903M

Q3 2024-3.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $1.02B total across 2 segments · Q2 2025

  • North America
    $779M
  • Rest of World
    $240M

Forward guidance

The company expects consumer demand to remain challenged in China through the end of the year and is cautious about North America residential and commercial water heater end-market demand. The company lowered its sales outlook for 2024 to be approximately flat to last year and lowered its full year EPS outlook to a range of between $3.70 and $3.85.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirmed full year EPS outlook of $3.70 to $3.85.
  • Improved lead times are expected to continue through the remainder of the year.
  • Adjusted North America residential and commercial water heater facilities to improve production efficiencies at lower levels.
  • Pureit acquisition on track to close by the end of 2024.
  • 6% increase to our dividend; we have increased our dividend for 32 consecutive years.

Headwinds

  • Consumer demand is expected to remain challenged in China through the end of the year.
  • Cautious about North America residential and commercial water heater end-market demand.
  • Sales outlook for 2024 lowered to be approximately flat to last year.
  • Full year EPS outlook lowered to a range of between $3.70 and $3.85.
  • Lower sales in China and North America water heater volumes impacted the performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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