NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith's Q3 2024 performance was impacted by lower sales in China and North America water heater volumes.

A. O. Smith reported a 4% decrease in sales to $903 million, primarily due to lower sales in China and North America. Net earnings decreased by 11% to $120 million, with diluted EPS decreasing by 9% to $0.82. The company reaffirmed its revised 2024 EPS outlook of $3.70 to $3.85.

  • Sales decreased by 4% to $903 million, driven by lower sales in China and North America.
  • Net earnings decreased by 11% to $120 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share decreased by 9% to $0.82.
  • The company reaffirmed its revised 2024 EPS outlook of $3.70 to $3.85.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$903M

Previous: $938M-3.7%
EPS

$0.82

Previous: $0.90-8.9%
NA Segment Margin

23.1%

No prior period
RoW Segment Margin

6.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$32.5M

Previous: -$18.5M-75.7%
Free Cash Flow

$120M

Previous: $135M-11.3%
Net Income

$120M

Previous: $135M-11.3%
Operating Income

$176M

Previous: $193M-8.9%
Gross Profit

$337M

Previous: $356M-5.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$219M

Previous: $281M-22.0%
Total Assets

$3.15B

Previous: $3.2B-1.4%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$903M

Q3 2024-3.7%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $943M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $710M+8.7%
  • Rest of World
    $233M+1.2%

Forward guidance

The company expects consumer demand to remain challenged in China through the end of the year and is cautious about North America residential and commercial water heater end-market demand. The company lowered its sales outlook for 2024 to be approximately flat to last year and lowered its full year EPS outlook to a range of between $3.70 and $3.85.

Tailwinds

  • Reaffirmed full year EPS outlook of $3.70 to $3.85.
  • Improved lead times are expected to continue through the remainder of the year.
  • Adjusted North America residential and commercial water heater facilities to improve production efficiencies at lower levels.
  • Pureit acquisition on track to close by the end of 2024.
  • 6% increase to our dividend; we have increased our dividend for 32 consecutive years.

Headwinds

  • Consumer demand is expected to remain challenged in China through the end of the year.
  • Cautious about North America residential and commercial water heater end-market demand.
  • Sales outlook for 2024 lowered to be approximately flat to last year.
  • Full year EPS outlook lowered to a range of between $3.70 and $3.85.
  • Lower sales in China and North America water heater volumes impacted the performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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