NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith reported strong second-quarter performance, driven by price increases and strong demand in certain segments, offset by lower residential water heater volumes and COVID-19 impacts in China.

A. O. Smith's second-quarter sales increased by 12% to $966 million, driven by pricing actions. EPS increased by 11% to $0.81, and adjusted EPS increased by 14% to $0.82. The company reaffirms its 2022 EPS guidance of $1.56 to $1.76 and adjusted EPS guidance of $3.35 to $3.55.

  • Sales increased by 12% to $966 million, driven by pricing actions.
  • Net earnings increased by 7% to $126.2 million.
  • EPS increased by 11% to $0.81, and adjusted EPS increased by 14% to $0.82.
  • Reaffirms 2022 EPS guidance of $1.56 to $1.76 and adjusted EPS guidance of $3.35 to $3.55.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$966M

Previous: $860M+12.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: $0.73+12.3%
Leverage Ratio

14.3%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$126M

Previous: $118M+6.8%
Net Income

$126M

Previous: $118M+6.8%
Operating Income

$178M

Previous: $164M+8.5%
Gross Profit

$334M

Previous: $321M+4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$359M

Previous: $445M-19.2%
Total Assets

$3.32B

Previous: $3.14B+5.8%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$966M

Q2 2022+12.3%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $974M total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • North America
    $744M+23.3%
  • Rest of World
    $230M-12.7%

Forward guidance

Due to volume headwinds in the water heating business, the company has lowered its sales outlook for 2022 to an increase between 12 percent and 14 percent year-over-year, including $100 million from Giant. The decrease in sales outlook is offset by an expected improved price cost relationship across our North America segment through the remainder of 2022 and we reaffirm our full year 2022 EPS outlook of between $1.56 and $1.76 and adjusted EPS outlook of between $3.35 and $3.55, an increase of 17% at the mid-point.

Tailwinds

  • Improved price cost relationship across our North America segment through the remainder of 2022
  • Reaffirm full year 2022 EPS outlook of between $1.56 and $1.76
  • Reaffirm adjusted EPS outlook of between $3.35 and $3.55, an increase of 17% at the mid-point
  • Strong balance sheet
  • Expected free cash flow provide us the liquidity that gives us flexibility in times of economic uncertainty and allows us to focus on our capital allocation priorities

Headwinds

  • Volume headwinds in the water heating business
  • Lowered sales outlook for 2022 to an increase between 12 percent and 14 percent year-over-year, including $100 million from Giant
  • Potential impacts from future acquisitions
  • COVID-19-related shutdowns in China remain at current levels throughout the rest of the year
  • Do not significantly impact our operations or our employees, customers or suppliers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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