NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith experienced a strong first quarter, driven by resilient water heater demand and lower steel costs.

A. O. Smith reported a 1% decrease in sales to $966 million, but net earnings increased by 6% to $126.9 million, resulting in record first quarter EPS of $0.84. Adjusted EPS was $0.94, excluding a non-cash impairment charge. The company raised its 2023 outlook to flat sales and adjusted EPS between $3.30 and $3.50.

  • Sales decreased 1% to $966 million, with North America increasing 3% and Rest of World decreasing 14%.
  • Net earnings increased 6% to $126.9 million, with EPS increasing 11% to $0.84.
  • Adjusted earnings were $142.5 million, excluding a non-cash impairment charge, resulting in adjusted EPS of $0.94.
  • The company raised its 2023 outlook to flat sales and adjusted EPS between $3.30 and $3.50.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$966M

Previous: $978M-1.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.94

Previous: $0.77+22.1%
Leverage Ratio

16.0%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$127M

Previous: $120M+5.9%
Net Income

$127M

Previous: $120M+5.9%
Operating Income

$194M

Previous: $177M+9.9%
Gross Profit

$374M

Previous: $342M+9.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$406M

Previous: $406M+0.1%
Total Assets

$3.34B

Previous: $3.43B-2.9%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$966M

Q1 2023-1.2%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $972M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • North America
    $753M+3.1%
  • Rest of World
    $219M-14.4%

Forward guidance

A. O. Smith projects flat sales and adjusted EPS between $3.30 and $3.50 for the full year 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Strong start to 2023, particularly in North America water heating.
  • Outperformed the market in North America water heating.
  • Price cost relationship resulted in a strong operating margin.
  • China's reopening is progressing as expected with sequential month-over-month demand improvement.
  • Strong balance sheet and free cash flow provide liquidity for capital allocation priorities.

Headwinds

  • Meaningful rise in steel index prices will translate into higher input costs.
  • Higher input costs will put pressure on water heater margins in the second half of the year.
  • Potential impacts from future acquisitions are excluded from guidance.
  • Further softening in U.S. residential water heater demand.
  • Negative impacts to the company resulting from global inflationary pressures or a potential recession.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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