NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

A. O. Smith reported a decrease in sales and net earnings for Q2 2020 due to the impact of COVID-19 and restructuring activities.

A. O. Smith reported second-quarter net earnings of $67.8 million, or $0.42 per share, on sales of $663.9 million. Sales decreased by 13% compared to the same quarter in 2019, and net earnings also declined from $102.1 million, or $0.61 per share, in the previous year. Adjusted earnings were $72.8 million, or $0.45 per share, excluding severance and restructuring charges.

  • Second quarter sales were $663.9 million, a 13% decrease compared to 2019.
  • Net earnings were $67.8 million, or $0.42 per share, down from $102.1 million, or $0.61 per share, in 2019.
  • North America segment sales were $480.5 million, an 8% decrease compared to 2019, while Rest of World segment sales were $189.7 million, a 24% decrease.
  • The company is providing full year 2020 earnings guidance of $1.69 to $1.83 per share and adjusted earnings guidance of $1.72 to $1.86 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$664M

Previous: $765M-13.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.61-26.2%
Free Cash Flow

$67.8M

Previous: $102M-33.6%
Net Income

$67.8M

Previous: $102M-33.6%
Operating Income

$99.3M

Previous: $145M-31.6%
Gross Profit

$248M

Previous: $309M-19.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$443M

Previous: $282M+57.2%
Total Assets

$2.98B

Previous: $3.18B-6.0%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$664M

Q2 2020-13.3%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $670M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • North America
    $481M-8.3%
  • Rest of World
    $190M-23.8%

Forward guidance

A. O. Smith is providing full year 2020 earnings guidance of $1.69 to $1.83 per share and adjusted earnings guidance of $1.72 to $1.86 per share, assuming business conditions remain similar to current experiences and do not deteriorate due to further restrictions or shutdowns.

Tailwinds

  • U.S. and China restrictions and closures eased and mobility improved as the quarter progressed
  • North American water treatment sales thrived
  • China business stabilized and improved
  • North America residential water heater markets stabilized and improved
  • Company believes it continues to have ample liquidity and flexibility to meet the needs of its business and return cash to shareholders

Headwinds

  • Much uncertainty remains about the duration and long-term implications of the pandemic
  • Uncertainty about the impact on U.S. commercial construction
  • Negative impacts to the Company’s business, including demand for its products, operations and work-force dislocation and disruption, supply chain disruption and liquidity as a result of the severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • A failure to recover or a further weakening of the Chinese economy and/or a failure to recover or a further decline in the growth rate of consumer spending or housing sales in China
  • Negative impact to the Company’s businesses from international tariffs and trade disputes

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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