NYSE$AOS

A O Smith Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported earnings of $0.74 per share, supported by record fourth quarter sales and provided 2021 guidance.

A. O. Smith reported record fourth-quarter sales of $834.5 million, an 11% increase compared to the previous year. Net earnings for the quarter were $120.0 million, or $0.74 per share, a 31% increase. The company provided full-year 2021 earnings guidance in a range between $2.40 and $2.50 per share.

  • Record fourth quarter sales of $834.5 million, up approximately 11 percent compared with the same period in 2019.
  • Net earnings of $120.0 million, or $0.74 per share, approximately 31 percent higher than the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • North America water treatment sales organically grew 14 percent in 2020.
  • U.S. residential industry shipped a record number of tank and tankless water heaters in 2020, exceeding 10 million units.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$835M

Previous: $751M+11.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.74

Previous: $0.56+32.1%
Net Income

$120M

Previous: $91.3M+31.4%
Operating Income

$152M

Previous: $115M+32.0%
Gross Profit

$324M

Previous: $295M+9.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$573M

Previous: $374M+53.2%
Total Assets

$3.16B

Previous: $3.06B+3.4%

Revenue & EPS history

A O Smith · Revenue · Quarterly

$835M

Q4 2020+11.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

A O Smith · $840M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • North America
    $561M+7.2%
  • Rest of World
    $279M+19.1%

Forward guidance

Full-year 2021 earnings guidance in a range between $2.40 and $2.50 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Resiliency of North America water heater replacement demand
  • Progressively improving year-over-year growth in consumer demand for products in China
  • Tailwinds behind North America water treatment product sales driven by drinking water health and safety concerns
  • Ample liquidity and flexibility to meet the needs of business
  • Ability to return cash to shareholders

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty about the duration and long-term implications of the pandemic
  • Impact on the U.S. commercial construction market
  • Conditions of business environment and those of suppliers and customers are similar throughout 2021 to what was experienced in recent months
  • Conditions do not deteriorate as a result of further restrictions or shutdowns
  • Potential impact on organic and acquisitive growth opportunities

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

40 / 68 earnings

Positive

+17.5%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-7.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+5.9%+9.9%+12.2%
Q3 2025-2.6%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2025+3.5%+5.7%-0.1%
Q4 2024-2.8%-5.1%-4.0%
Q3 2024-1.7%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2024-9.1%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024-4.4%-4.8%-2.6%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.1%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+7.0%+16.6%
Q2 2023-3.8%-3.3%-7.1%
Q1 2023+1.2%+3.4%-1.2%
Q4 2022+17.5%+15.9%+13.6%
Q3 2022+4.7%+5.1%+19.1%
Q2 2022+4.5%-0.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022-7.1%-6.0%-2.7%
Q4 2021+1.0%+1.1%-7.1%
Q3 2021+13.7%+22.0%+26.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+3.2%+4.3%
Q1 2021+1.8%+7.5%+6.8%
Q4 2020+2.1%+7.9%+11.6%
Q3 2020+0.4%+3.6%+10.9%
Q2 2020-9.7%-10.0%-7.4%
Q1 2020+4.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2019+1.1%-2.6%-8.4%
Q3 2019-1.9%-2.1%-5.1%
Q2 2019+3.7%-0.2%+5.3%
Q1 2019-5.9%-3.9%-26.2%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+7.7%+13.7%+10.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.6%-2.0%
Q1 2018+0.9%-1.2%+3.8%
Q4 2017-0.1%-3.3%-7.1%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.4%-2.2%
Q2 2017-2.0%-2.7%-2.0%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.1%
Q4 2016+1.9%+1.9%+3.6%
Q3 2016-3.9%-3.4%+5.3%
Q2 2016+5.6%+4.7%+7.6%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015+2.8%
Q2 2015+5.5%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+3.8%
Q2 2014+6.2%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013-2.8%
Q3 2013+9.9%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.9%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q4 2008+2.2%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2009+4.4%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%

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