NYSE$ALSN

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allison Transmission reported record quarterly net sales and increased diluted EPS for Q1 2023.

Allison Transmission announced record first quarter net sales of $741 million, a 9% increase year over year, and diluted EPS of $1.85, up 42% compared to the same period in 2022. The company raised its full year 2023 guidance due to sustained demand and growth initiatives.

  • Record quarterly net sales of $741 million, up 9% year over year.
  • Diluted EPS of $1.85, up 42% year over year.
  • Net sales in Service Parts, Support Equipment and Other end market increased by $44 million.
  • Net sales in the North America On-Highway end market increased by $30 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$741M

Previous: $677M+9.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.85

Previous: $1.30+42.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$276M

Previous: $244M+13.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$24M

Previous: -$20M-20.0%
Free Cash Flow

$146M

Previous: $109M+33.9%
Net Income

$170M

Previous: $129M+31.8%
Operating Income

$230M

Previous: $202M+13.9%
Gross Profit

$361M

Previous: $320M+12.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$344M

Previous: $145M+137.2%
Total Assets

$4.83B

Previous: $4.53B+6.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $3M+66.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Allison · Revenue · Quarterly

$741M

Q1 2023+9.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allison · $694M total across 4 segments · Q1 2023

  • North America On-Highway
    $376M+8.7%
  • Service Parts & Other
    $183M+31.7%
  • Outside North America On-Highway
    $108M-0.9%
  • Defense
    $27M-22.9%

Forward guidance

Allison expects 2023 Net Sales in the range of $2.9 to $3.0 billion, Net Income in the range of $550 to $600 million, Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1.01 to $1.09 billion, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities in the range of $635 to $695 million, Capital Expenditures in the range of $125 to $135 million, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $510 to $560 million.

Tailwinds

  • Higher customer demand in the Global On-Highway end market
  • Higher customer demand in the Global Off-Highway end market
  • Higher customer demand in the Service Parts, Support Equipment & Other end markets
  • Price increases on certain products
  • Continued execution of growth initiatives

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

37 / 61 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%-6.2%-9.5%
Q4 2025+4.8%+7.2%-0.4%
Q3 2025+2.4%-2.7%+8.7%
Q1 2025+4.1%+4.1%+10.8%
Q4 2024-12.5%-8.4%-15.8%
Q3 2024+8.2%+7.4%+18.8%
Q2 2024+6.2%+6.8%+9.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%-8.1%-5.3%
Q4 2023+11.6%+12.3%+19.4%
Q3 2023-10.8%-11.2%-5.7%
Q2 2023+1.7%+3.2%+1.4%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.8%+6.9%
Q4 2022+10.3%+9.2%-8.0%
Q3 2022+5.8%+8.3%+12.9%
Q2 2022-8.4%-7.4%-11.7%
Q1 2022+4.6%+4.3%+8.7%
Q4 2021+1.4%+0.5%-2.4%
Q3 2021+2.8%+2.2%+9.3%
Q2 2021+1.0%+1.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-3.9%-4.1%-2.8%
Q4 2020-9.6%-11.5%-0.2%
Q3 2020-6.8%-1.3%+10.9%
Q2 2020-1.9%-1.7%-4.7%
Q1 2020-0.5%+5.0%+9.5%
Q4 2019-1.0%-1.0%-34.8%
Q3 2019-7.2%-5.3%+3.0%
Q2 2019-1.3%-6.5%-5.2%
Q1 2019+1.3%-2.6%-11.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-3.0%-10.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%+1.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+11.9%+10.7%+18.1%
Q1 2018+2.7%+4.8%+7.7%
Q4 2017-3.2%-5.8%-6.5%
Q3 2017-1.0%+1.7%-6.4%
Q2 2017+0.4%+1.1%-8.3%
Q1 2017+4.8%+4.3%+4.4%
Q4 2016+5.4%+6.2%+2.0%
Q3 2016+3.3%+6.6%+18.2%
Q2 2016-4.8%-5.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015-3.3%
Q3 2015-1.1%
Q2 2015+2.9%
Q1 2015-3.3%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+7.3%
Q2 2014-0.3%
Q1 2014+6.6%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2012+4.0%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q1 2012+3.0%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

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