NYSE$ALSN

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record quarterly net sales with strong demand across largest end markets and growth initiatives.

Allison Transmission reported record second-quarter net sales of $783 million, an 18% increase year-over-year, and diluted EPS of $1.92, a 52% increase year-over-year. The company is raising its full-year 2023 net sales guidance to $3 billion at the midpoint.

  • Record quarterly net sales of $783 million, up 18% year over year
  • Net Income of $175 million, 22% of net sales, up 43% year over year
  • Diluted EPS of $1.92, up 52% year over year
  • Increased 2023 Net Sales, Earnings and Cash Flow Guidance

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$783M

Previous: $664M+17.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.92

Previous: $1.26+52.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$288M

Previous: $227M+26.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$43M

Previous: -$50M+14.0%
Free Cash Flow

$132M

Previous: $72M+83.3%
Net Income

$175M

Previous: $122M+43.4%
Operating Income

$242M

Previous: $187M+29.4%
Gross Profit

$381M

Previous: $311M+22.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$351M

Previous: $122M+187.7%
Total Assets

$4.86B

Previous: $4.53B+7.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $6M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Allison · Revenue · Quarterly

$783M

Q2 2023+17.9%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allison · $734M total across 4 segments · Q2 2023

  • North America On-Highway
    $397M+16.8%
  • Service Parts & Other
    $181M+31.2%
  • Outside North America On-Highway
    $123M+17.1%
  • Defense
    $33M+13.8%

Forward guidance

Allison expects 2023 Net Sales in the range of $2.96 to $3.04 billion, Net Income in the range of $575 to $625 million, Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1.05 to $1.11 billion, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities in the range of $675 to $725 million, Capital Expenditures in the range of $125 to $135 million, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $550 to $590 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales in the range of $2.96 to $3.04 billion
  • Net Income in the range of $575 to $625 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1.05 to $1.11 billion
  • Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities in the range of $675 to $725 million
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $550 to $590 million

Headwinds

  • Capital Expenditures in the range of $125 to $135 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

37 / 61 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%-6.2%-9.5%
Q4 2025+4.8%+7.2%-0.4%
Q3 2025+2.4%-2.7%+8.7%
Q1 2025+4.1%+4.1%+10.8%
Q4 2024-12.5%-8.4%-15.8%
Q3 2024+8.2%+7.4%+18.8%
Q2 2024+6.2%+6.8%+9.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%-8.1%-5.3%
Q4 2023+11.6%+12.3%+19.4%
Q3 2023-10.8%-11.2%-5.7%
Q2 2023+1.7%+3.2%+1.4%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.8%+6.9%
Q4 2022+10.3%+9.2%-8.0%
Q3 2022+5.8%+8.3%+12.9%
Q2 2022-8.4%-7.4%-11.7%
Q1 2022+4.6%+4.3%+8.7%
Q4 2021+1.4%+0.5%-2.4%
Q3 2021+2.8%+2.2%+9.3%
Q2 2021+1.0%+1.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-3.9%-4.1%-2.8%
Q4 2020-9.6%-11.5%-0.2%
Q3 2020-6.8%-1.3%+10.9%
Q2 2020-1.9%-1.7%-4.7%
Q1 2020-0.5%+5.0%+9.5%
Q4 2019-1.0%-1.0%-34.8%
Q3 2019-7.2%-5.3%+3.0%
Q2 2019-1.3%-6.5%-5.2%
Q1 2019+1.3%-2.6%-11.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-3.0%-10.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%+1.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+11.9%+10.7%+18.1%
Q1 2018+2.7%+4.8%+7.7%
Q4 2017-3.2%-5.8%-6.5%
Q3 2017-1.0%+1.7%-6.4%
Q2 2017+0.4%+1.1%-8.3%
Q1 2017+4.8%+4.3%+4.4%
Q4 2016+5.4%+6.2%+2.0%
Q3 2016+3.3%+6.6%+18.2%
Q2 2016-4.8%-5.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015-3.3%
Q3 2015-1.1%
Q2 2015+2.9%
Q1 2015-3.3%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+7.3%
Q2 2014-0.3%
Q1 2014+6.6%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2012+4.0%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q1 2012+3.0%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro