NYSE$ALSN

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allison Transmission reported record quarterly net sales, driven by strength in North America On-Highway, Defense, and Outside North America On-Highway end markets, and increased diluted EPS.

Allison Transmission announced record third quarter net sales of $824 million, a 12% increase year over year. Net income was $200 million, up 27% year over year, and diluted EPS reached a quarterly record of $2.27, a 29% increase year over year. The company is raising its full year 2024 revenue, earnings, and cash flow guidance.

  • Record quarterly net sales of $824 million, up 12% year over year.
  • Net Income of $200 million, up 27% year over year.
  • Diluted EPS of $2.27, a quarterly record, up 29% year over year.
  • Increased full year 2024 revenue, earnings and cash flow guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$824M

Previous: $736M+12.0%
EPS

$2.27

Previous: $1.76+29.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$305M

Previous: $267M+14.2%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

37.0%

No prior period
Operating Cash Flow

$246M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$68M

Previous: -$73M+6.8%
Free Cash Flow

$132M

Previous: $85M+55.3%
Net Income

$200M

Previous: $158M+26.6%
Operating Income

$260M

Previous: $222M+17.1%
Gross Profit

$396M

Previous: $357M+10.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$788M

Previous: $501M+57.3%
Total Assets

$5.37B

Previous: $4.99B+7.6%
R&D Expense

$51M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $6M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Allison · Revenue · Quarterly

$824M

Q3 2024+12%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Allison · $708M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America On-Highway
    $376M+10.6%
  • Service Parts & Other
    $171M+8.9%
  • Outside North America On-Highway
    $118M+0.0%
  • Defense
    $43M+22.9%

Forward guidance

Allison expects 2024 Net Sales in the range of $3,135 to $3,215 million, Net Income in the range of $675 to $725 million, Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1,115 to $1,175 million, Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities in the range of $740 to $800 million, Capital Expenditures in the range of $135 to $145 million, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow in the range of $605 to $655 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

37 / 61 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%-6.2%-9.5%
Q4 2025+4.8%+7.2%-0.4%
Q3 2025+2.4%-2.7%+8.7%
Q1 2025+4.1%+4.1%+10.8%
Q4 2024-12.5%-8.4%-15.8%
Q3 2024+8.2%+7.4%+18.8%
Q2 2024+6.2%+6.8%+9.6%
Q1 2024-6.9%-8.1%-5.3%
Q4 2023+11.6%+12.3%+19.4%
Q3 2023-10.8%-11.2%-5.7%
Q2 2023+1.7%+3.2%+1.4%
Q1 2023+7.4%+5.8%+6.9%
Q4 2022+10.3%+9.2%-8.0%
Q3 2022+5.8%+8.3%+12.9%
Q2 2022-8.4%-7.4%-11.7%
Q1 2022+4.6%+4.3%+8.7%
Q4 2021+1.4%+0.5%-2.4%
Q3 2021+2.8%+2.2%+9.3%
Q2 2021+1.0%+1.3%-4.1%
Q1 2021-3.9%-4.1%-2.8%
Q4 2020-9.6%-11.5%-0.2%
Q3 2020-6.8%-1.3%+10.9%
Q2 2020-1.9%-1.7%-4.7%
Q1 2020-0.5%+5.0%+9.5%
Q4 2019-1.0%-1.0%-34.8%
Q3 2019-7.2%-5.3%+3.0%
Q2 2019-1.3%-6.5%-5.2%
Q1 2019+1.3%-2.6%-11.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-3.0%-10.5%
Q3 2018+0.6%+1.6%+9.1%
Q2 2018+11.9%+10.7%+18.1%
Q1 2018+2.7%+4.8%+7.7%
Q4 2017-3.2%-5.8%-6.5%
Q3 2017-1.0%+1.7%-6.4%
Q2 2017+0.4%+1.1%-8.3%
Q1 2017+4.8%+4.3%+4.4%
Q4 2016+5.4%+6.2%+2.0%
Q3 2016+3.3%+6.6%+18.2%
Q2 2016-4.8%-5.3%-7.8%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015-3.3%
Q3 2015-1.1%
Q2 2015+2.9%
Q1 2015-3.3%
Q4 2014-2.5%
Q3 2014+7.3%
Q2 2014-0.3%
Q1 2014+6.6%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2011+6.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q2 2012+4.0%
Q1 2011+2.6%
Q1 2012+3.0%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010

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