NASDAQ$XPEL

Xpel Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

XPEL's revenue increased by 11.9% in Q4 2022, with net income rising by 34.7%.

XPEL reported an 11.9% increase in revenue for Q4 2022, reaching $78.5 million. Net income saw a substantial increase of 34.7%, amounting to $8.4 million, or $0.30 per share. The company's performance was impacted by approximately $3.5 million due to canceled China orders and $0.4 million in inventory write-offs.

  • Revenue increased 11.9% to $78.5 million compared to Q4 2021.
  • Net income increased 34.7% to $8.4 million, or $0.30 per share.
  • EBITDA grew 32.4% to $13.2 million, representing 16.8% of revenue.
  • US grew 31.6% in the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$78.5M

Previous: $70.1M+11.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.30

Previous: $0.22+36.4%
Gross margin

39.6%

Previous: 35.2%+12.5%
EBITDA

$13.2M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$2.4M

Previous: $1.64M+46.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$41K

Previous: -$3.55M+98.8%
Net Income

$8.4M

Previous: $6.2M+35.5%
Operating Income

$10.8M

Previous: $8.53M+27.2%
Gross Profit

$31M

Previous: $24.7M+25.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.06M

Previous: $9.64M-16.5%
Total Assets

$193M

Previous: $161M+20.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$205K

Previous: $92.2K+122.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Xpel · Revenue · Quarterly

$78.5M

Q4 2022+11.9%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Xpel · $103M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Product revenue
    $81.1M+11.7%
  • Service revenue
    $21.6M+25.7%

Forward guidance

XPEL anticipates continued momentum in most regions, particularly in the US, with cautious optimism from automakers and improving new car inventories for 2023. The company is off to a great start in 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Tremendous momentum in almost all regions.
  • US grew 31.6% in the quarter.
  • Automakers seem cautiously optimistic about 2023.
  • New car inventories continue to improve.
  • Off to a great start in 2023.

Headwinds

  • Revenue was negatively impacted by approximately $3.5 million due to the cancellation of some China orders.
  • Uncertainty created by the change in COVID policies and China’s reopening.
  • Company incurred approximately $0.4 million in inventory write-offs which negatively impacted gross margin.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses were negatively impacted by approximately $0.3 million in severance-related costs.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses were negatively impacted by $0.4 million in compensation expense tangential to a previous acquisition.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+6.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.8%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

18 / 27 earnings

Positive

+40.1%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-40.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-6.6%+1.3%
Q4 2025-6.8%-14.8%-19.9%
Q3 2025+0.7%+10.5%+40.6%
Q1 2025+14.2%+25.6%+25.3%
Q4 2024-14.6%-24.7%-23.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+7.6%+7.8%
Q2 2024+40.1%+42.0%+32.7%
Q1 2024-40.4%-40.2%-29.4%
Q4 2023-4.7%-5.1%-4.3%
Q3 2023-13.0%-9.3%-1.8%
Q2 2023-0.5%+5.2%-5.9%
Q1 2023+8.0%+6.9%+8.4%
Q4 2022-14.9%-13.3%-14.0%
Q3 2022+4.2%+5.1%-1.0%
Q2 2022+24.1%+30.1%+6.1%
Q1 2022+11.2%+12.9%+19.3%
Q4 2021-3.5%-18.7%-20.2%
Q3 2021+4.9%-0.4%-5.1%
Q2 2021+1.9%-9.9%-9.5%
Q1 2021+10.7%+19.4%+41.8%
Q4 2020+15.0%+11.9%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+19.6%+50.6%
Q2 2020+38.0%+37.8%+15.8%
Q1 2020+10.2%+20.9%+35.3%
Q4 2019+15.7%+4.9%+20.8%
Q3 2019+27.3%+36.9%+44.4%
Q2 2019+28.1%+28.1%+69.2%
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Q4 2011
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