NASDAQ$XPEL

Xpel Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

XPEL's revenue increased, driven by growth in the US region and window film products, while facing challenges in China. The company reported solid top and bottom-line growth.

XPEL reported record revenue of $112.9 million in Q3 2024, a 9.9% increase year-over-year. Net income grew by 9.1% to $14.9 million, and EBITDA increased by 10.0% to $21.7 million. The U.S. region saw record revenue, while China experienced a decline. The company estimates Q4 revenue at $105 - $107 million.

  • Revenue increased by 9.9% to $112.9 million in Q3 2024.
  • Net income grew by 9.1% to $14.9 million, or $0.54 per basic and diluted share.
  • EBITDA grew by 10.0% to $21.7 million, representing 19.2% of revenue.
  • US revenue grew 9.4% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$113M

Previous: $103M+9.9%
EPS

$0.54

Previous: $0.49+10.2%
Gross margin

43.1%

Previous: 40.4%+6.7%
EBITDA

$18.6M

Previous: $19.7M-5.5%
Operating expenses

$33.6M

No prior period
Sales and marketing

$12.8M

No prior period
General and administrative

$20.8M

No prior period
Cash flow from operations

$12.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$5.09M

Previous: -$4.74M-7.3%
Free Cash Flow

$9.81M

Previous: $8.92M+10.0%
Net Income

$14.9M

Previous: $13.7M+9.1%
Operating Income

$18.4M

Previous: $17.6M+4.3%
Gross Profit

$47.9M

Previous: $41.5M+15.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$21M

Previous: $10.4M+102.3%
Total Assets

$273M

Previous: $227M+20.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$862K

Previous: $487K+77.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Xpel · Revenue · Quarterly

$113M

Q3 2024+9.9%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Xpel · $103M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Product revenue
    $81.1M+11.7%
  • Service revenue
    $21.6M+25.7%

Forward guidance

Fourth quarter revenue is estimated at $105 - $107 million. This assumes Q4 YoY US growth of approximately 10% partially offset by Q4 YoY decline in China sales.

Tailwinds

  • Fourth quarter revenue is estimated at $105 - $107 million.
  • Assumes Q4 YoY US growth of approximately 10%.
  • Company looks forward to capitalizing on momentum to close out the year.
  • Good performance in the third quarter with solid top and bottom line growth.
  • Record revenue in the US region.

Headwinds

  • Assumes Q4 YoY decline in China sales.
  • Total revenue increased 2.7% over the second quarter 2024.
  • All other revenue (excluding US and China) declined 3.4% QoQ.
  • Total service revenue declined 3.1% QoQ.
  • Organic installation revenue grew 11.3% YoY.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+6.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.8%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

18 / 27 earnings

Positive

+40.1%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-40.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-6.6%+1.3%
Q4 2025-6.8%-14.8%-19.9%
Q3 2025+0.7%+10.5%+40.6%
Q1 2025+14.2%+25.6%+25.3%
Q4 2024-14.6%-24.7%-23.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+7.6%+7.8%
Q2 2024+40.1%+42.0%+32.7%
Q1 2024-40.4%-40.2%-29.4%
Q4 2023-4.7%-5.1%-4.3%
Q3 2023-13.0%-9.3%-1.8%
Q2 2023-0.5%+5.2%-5.9%
Q1 2023+8.0%+6.9%+8.4%
Q4 2022-14.9%-13.3%-14.0%
Q3 2022+4.2%+5.1%-1.0%
Q2 2022+24.1%+30.1%+6.1%
Q1 2022+11.2%+12.9%+19.3%
Q4 2021-3.5%-18.7%-20.2%
Q3 2021+4.9%-0.4%-5.1%
Q2 2021+1.9%-9.9%-9.5%
Q1 2021+10.7%+19.4%+41.8%
Q4 2020+15.0%+11.9%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+19.6%+50.6%
Q2 2020+38.0%+37.8%+15.8%
Q1 2020+10.2%+20.9%+35.3%
Q4 2019+15.7%+4.9%+20.8%
Q3 2019+27.3%+36.9%+44.4%
Q2 2019+28.1%+28.1%+69.2%
Q4 2018
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Q4 2011
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Q4 2010
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Q1 2010

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