NASDAQ$XPEL

Xpel Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

XPEL reported a slight increase in revenue, a decrease in net income and EBITDA, and a decline in EPS for the fourth quarter of 2024.

XPEL's fourth quarter 2024 results showed a modest revenue increase of 1.9% to $107.5 million, but net income decreased by 25.7% to $8.9 million, and EBITDA fell by 19.3% to $14.3 million. The company's EPS also declined to $0.32 per share.

  • Revenue increased by 1.9% to $107.5 million in Q4 2024, with a 10.5% increase excluding China impacts.
  • Gross margin was 40.6% in Q4 2024, an improvement from 38.8% in Q4 2023.
  • Net income decreased by 25.7% to $8.9 million, resulting in a diluted EPS of $0.32.
  • EBITDA decreased by 19.3% to $14.3 million, representing 13.3% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$108M

Previous: $106M+1.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.43-25.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.08M

Previous: -$2.11M+1.2%
Free Cash Flow

$4.7M

No prior period
Net Income

$8.9M

Previous: $12M-25.7%
Operating Income

$12.3M

Previous: $14.2M-13.2%
Gross Profit

$43.7M

Previous: $40.9M+6.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Xpel · Revenue · Quarterly

$108M

Q4 2024+1.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Xpel · $103M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Product revenue
    $81.1M+11.7%
  • Service revenue
    $21.6M+25.7%

Forward guidance

XPEL expects first quarter 2025 revenue to be between $97 million and $99 million, and anticipates approximately $2 million in annual run rate savings from a recent workforce reduction.

Tailwinds

  • Expected Q1 2025 revenue of approximately $97 - $99 million.
  • Workforce reduction expected to yield approximately $2 million in annual run rate savings.
  • Solid top line performance in the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • Progress made on key initiatives including increased focus on dealerships.
  • Refinement of go-to-market strategy in China.

Headwinds

  • No specific negative forward guidance was provided in the report.
  • Potential for adjustments to preliminary financial information for 2024.
  • Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
  • Risks include competition and supply chain disruption.
  • Changes in automotive sales and production volumes could impact results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+6.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.8%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

18 / 27 earnings

Positive

+40.1%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-40.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-6.6%+1.3%
Q4 2025-6.8%-14.8%-19.9%
Q3 2025+0.7%+10.5%+40.6%
Q1 2025+14.2%+25.6%+25.3%
Q4 2024-14.6%-24.7%-23.4%
Q3 2024+6.2%+7.6%+7.8%
Q2 2024+40.1%+42.0%+32.7%
Q1 2024-40.4%-40.2%-29.4%
Q4 2023-4.7%-5.1%-4.3%
Q3 2023-13.0%-9.3%-1.8%
Q2 2023-0.5%+5.2%-5.9%
Q1 2023+8.0%+6.9%+8.4%
Q4 2022-14.9%-13.3%-14.0%
Q3 2022+4.2%+5.1%-1.0%
Q2 2022+24.1%+30.1%+6.1%
Q1 2022+11.2%+12.9%+19.3%
Q4 2021-3.5%-18.7%-20.2%
Q3 2021+4.9%-0.4%-5.1%
Q2 2021+1.9%-9.9%-9.5%
Q1 2021+10.7%+19.4%+41.8%
Q4 2020+15.0%+11.9%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+19.6%+50.6%
Q2 2020+38.0%+37.8%+15.8%
Q1 2020+10.2%+20.9%+35.3%
Q4 2019+15.7%+4.9%+20.8%
Q3 2019+27.3%+36.9%+44.4%
Q2 2019+28.1%+28.1%+69.2%
Q4 2018
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Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
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Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
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Q2 2016
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Q4 2015
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Q4 2014
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Q4 2013
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Q4 2012
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Q4 2011
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Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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