NASDAQ$GPRE

Green Plains Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved strong operating results and generated significant positive free cash flow due to modernization and transformation program and non-ethanol contributions.

Green Plains Inc. reported net income of $46.4 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, compared to $9.7 million, or $0.20 per diluted share, for the same period in 2021. Revenues were $1,012.4 million compared to $724.4 million for the same period last year. The company benefited from strong plant utilization rates and non-ethanol contributions such as renewable corn oil and Ultra-High Protein.

  • Achieved strong operating results and generated significant positive free cash flow.
  • Modernization and transformation program led to strong plant utilization rates.
  • Benefitted from non-ethanol contributions such as renewable corn oil and Ultra-High Protein.
  • Received $27.7 million in COVID relief from the USDA Biofuel Producer Program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.01B

Previous: $724M+39.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.20+265.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$128M

Previous: -$59.9M-114.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$81.9M

Previous: -$50.2M-63.3%
Net Income

$46.4M

Previous: $9.74M+376.2%
Operating Income

$33.8M

Previous: $31M+9.0%
Gross Profit

$91.1M

Previous: $85M+7.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$508M

Previous: $497M+2.3%
Total Assets

$2.3B

Previous: $1.99B+15.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.38M

Previous: $1.09M+119.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Plains · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.01B

Q2 2022+39.8%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Plains · $341M total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • Ethanol Production
    $231M-68.1%
  • Agribusiness and Energy Services
    $110M-84.9%

Forward guidance

Green Plains is focused on executing its transformation plan, with three MSC locations anticipated to come online in the third and fourth quarter. The company plans to break ground on its first full-scale commercial low-carbon Clean Sugar Technology deployment in Shenandoah, Iowa, during the third quarter and believes they are on track for a 2023 startup.

Tailwinds

  • MSC locations under construction are anticipated to come online in the third and fourth quarter.
  • Customer engagement is growing globally as Green Plains sends more 50% and 60% corn fermented protein to new and existing customers.
  • Anticipate the third quarter to be one of the strongest in new orders.
  • Commercialization of 60% protein product is ongoing and Green Plains is realizing continued improvement in operating results.
  • Planning to break ground on first full-scale commercial low-carbon Clean Sugar Technology deployment in Shenandoah, Iowa during the third quarter.

Headwinds

  • Disruption caused by health epidemics, such as the coronavirus outbreak.
  • Competition in the industries in which Green Plains operates.
  • Commodity market risks.
  • Financial market risks.
  • Counterparty risks.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.2%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.4%-1.2%-11.8%
Q4 2025+0.5%+16.9%+25.6%
Q3 2025+12.7%-2.5%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+35.0%+10.6%
Q4 2024-20.4%-24.8%-30.8%
Q3 2024+2.6%+10.6%-7.2%
Q2 2024-10.8%-18.4%-15.9%
Q1 2024-4.1%-5.6%-17.2%
Q4 2023+18.0%+22.9%+3.2%
Q3 2023-2.6%-1.4%-13.0%
Q2 2023-4.2%-1.1%-8.8%
Q1 2023-4.8%-11.1%-5.8%
Q4 2022+3.0%+4.2%-6.7%
Q3 2022+13.2%+19.6%+26.8%
Q2 2022+4.2%+3.5%-0.3%
Q1 2022+8.7%+14.5%+23.6%
Q4 2021-18.3%-14.6%-6.4%
Q3 2021+8.2%+7.1%-6.9%
Q2 2021+6.8%-1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+7.3%+9.9%
Q4 2020+13.6%+27.1%+31.7%
Q3 2020-2.3%+8.7%+3.9%
Q2 2020+2.1%+11.1%+8.0%
Q1 2020+17.0%+26.2%+66.0%
Q4 2019+5.0%+6.0%-52.5%
Q3 2019+12.3%+17.5%+7.7%
Q2 2019-3.3%-8.4%-7.0%
Q1 2019-2.4%-3.0%-22.3%
Q4 2018+7.9%+14.7%+20.9%
Q3 2018-0.3%-4.0%-11.5%
Q2 2018+4.8%+4.2%+6.9%
Q1 2018+7.0%+7.5%+15.0%
Q4 2017+8.6%+9.2%+13.4%
Q3 2017-8.5%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2017-4.5%-3.5%-12.1%
Q1 2017+10.2%+12.0%-7.2%
Q4 2016+11.2%+0.4%-4.4%
Q3 2016+2.5%-2.5%+5.4%
Q2 2016-5.2%-0.7%+7.1%
Q1 2016-6.8%
Q4 2015-19.3%
Q3 2015+10.5%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014+4.6%
Q3 2014+11.6%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+6.1%
Q4 2013+1.1%
Q3 2013+5.5%
Q2 2013-7.8%
Q1 2013+4.1%
Q4 2012+9.6%
Q3 2012+28.2%
Q2 2012-18.5%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012-10.3%
Q4 2009+5.6%
Q4 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.9%
Q1 2010+1.3%

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