NASDAQ$GPRE

Green Plains Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Green Plains experienced a net loss but demonstrated resilience through risk management and cost reduction strategies.

Green Plains Inc. reported a net loss of $16.4 million, or $(0.47) per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020, compared to a net loss of $42.8 million, or $(1.06) per diluted share, for the same period in 2019. Revenues increased to $632.9 million from $438.6 million year-over-year. The company's performance was supported by risk management programs and cost reduction efforts, resulting in a strong cash position of over $205 million.

  • Net loss attributable to the company was $16.4 million, an improvement from the $42.8 million loss in Q1 2019.
  • Revenues increased to $632.9 million compared to $438.6 million in the same period last year.
  • The company's risk management programs and Project 24 initiative positively impacted margins and reduced operating costs.
  • Green Plains had over $205 million in cash at the end of the first quarter, maintaining a strong liquidity position.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$633M

Previous: $642M-1.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.47

Previous: -$1.60+70.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$38.8M

Previous: -$10.8M-258.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$55.2M

Previous: -$53.6M-3.0%
Net Income

-$16.4M

Previous: -$42.8M+61.6%
Operating Income

-$54.3M

Previous: -$40M-35.8%
Gross Profit

$15.6M

Previous: $635M-97.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$194M

Previous: $214M-9.2%
Total Assets

$1.64B

Previous: $2.15B-23.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Plains · Revenue · Quarterly

$633M

Q1 2020-1.5%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Plains · $633M total across 1 segment · Q1 2020

  • Ethanol Production
    $633M

Forward guidance

Green Plains anticipates a positive impact on the second quarter due to sales of FDA approved FCC Grade alcohol for use in hand sanitizers and cleaning products and completion of Project 24 upgrades.

Tailwinds

  • Successful startup of high protein production at Shenandoah biorefinery.
  • Project 24 upgrades are on track to enhance operational competitiveness.
  • Green Plains Cattle Company achieved record results due to strong demand.
  • Sales of FDA approved FCC Grade alcohol for sanitizers are expected to positively impact Q2.
  • The company anticipates these sales will have a positive impact on the second quarter.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 pandemic and related economic repercussions have created significant volatility.
  • Deterioration in prices and demand for energy commodities and motor fuels, including ethanol.
  • Uncertainty regarding the overall impact of COVID-19 on the company's financial position and operations.
  • The GPP revolving credit facility will mature on July 1, 2020 unless extended.
  • Market capitalization declined significantly due to macroeconomic conditions and the COVID-19 pandemic which led to a drop in demand for ethanol globally.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.2%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.4%-1.2%-11.8%
Q4 2025+0.5%+16.9%+25.6%
Q3 2025+12.7%-2.5%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+35.0%+10.6%
Q4 2024-20.4%-24.8%-30.8%
Q3 2024+2.6%+10.6%-7.2%
Q2 2024-10.8%-18.4%-15.9%
Q1 2024-4.1%-5.6%-17.2%
Q4 2023+18.0%+22.9%+3.2%
Q3 2023-2.6%-1.4%-13.0%
Q2 2023-4.2%-1.1%-8.8%
Q1 2023-4.8%-11.1%-5.8%
Q4 2022+3.0%+4.2%-6.7%
Q3 2022+13.2%+19.6%+26.8%
Q2 2022+4.2%+3.5%-0.3%
Q1 2022+8.7%+14.5%+23.6%
Q4 2021-18.3%-14.6%-6.4%
Q3 2021+8.2%+7.1%-6.9%
Q2 2021+6.8%-1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+7.3%+9.9%
Q4 2020+13.6%+27.1%+31.7%
Q3 2020-2.3%+8.7%+3.9%
Q2 2020+2.1%+11.1%+8.0%
Q1 2020+17.0%+26.2%+66.0%
Q4 2019+5.0%+6.0%-52.5%
Q3 2019+12.3%+17.5%+7.7%
Q2 2019-3.3%-8.4%-7.0%
Q1 2019-2.4%-3.0%-22.3%
Q4 2018+7.9%+14.7%+20.9%
Q3 2018-0.3%-4.0%-11.5%
Q2 2018+4.8%+4.2%+6.9%
Q1 2018+7.0%+7.5%+15.0%
Q4 2017+8.6%+9.2%+13.4%
Q3 2017-8.5%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2017-4.5%-3.5%-12.1%
Q1 2017+10.2%+12.0%-7.2%
Q4 2016+11.2%+0.4%-4.4%
Q3 2016+2.5%-2.5%+5.4%
Q2 2016-5.2%-0.7%+7.1%
Q1 2016-6.8%
Q4 2015-19.3%
Q3 2015+10.5%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014+4.6%
Q3 2014+11.6%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+6.1%
Q4 2013+1.1%
Q3 2013+5.5%
Q2 2013-7.8%
Q1 2013+4.1%
Q4 2012+9.6%
Q3 2012+28.2%
Q2 2012-18.5%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012-10.3%
Q4 2009+5.6%
Q4 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.9%
Q1 2010+1.3%

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