NASDAQ$GPRE

Green Plains Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results, showing a reduced net loss compared to the same period last year and progress in the company's transformation plan.

Green Plains Inc. reported a net loss of $8.2 million for the second quarter of 2020, a significant improvement from the $45.3 million loss in the same period of 2019. The company saw revenues of $418.0 million, and positive adjusted EBITDA of $17.9 million, driven by high-quality alcohol production, Project 24 initiatives, high protein production, and a strong performance in the cattle business.

  • Net loss attributable to the company was $8.2 million, or $(0.24) per diluted share.
  • Revenues were $418.0 million for the second quarter of 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $17.9 million.
  • The company completed over 55% of the originally planned Project 24 initiatives.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$418M

Previous: $896M-53.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: -$1.13+78.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$63.9M

Previous: -$23.5M-172.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$72.1M

Previous: -$68.8M-4.8%
Net Income

-$8.21M

Previous: -$45.3M+81.9%
Operating Income

-$19.4M

Previous: -$39.4M+50.8%
Gross Profit

$27.1M

Previous: $7.6M+257.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$163M

Previous: $193M-15.5%
Total Assets

$1.57B

Previous: $2.14B-26.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.23M

Previous: $2.32M-4.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Plains · Revenue · Quarterly

$418M

Q2 2020-53.3%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Plains · $836M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Ethanol Production
    $418M
  • Agribusiness and Energy Services
    $418M

Forward guidance

Green Plains is focusing on Project 24 initiatives and high protein strategy which are expected to lower operating costs and enhance the quality and nutritional factors of their high protein products.

Tailwinds

  • Project 24 upgrade at Green Plains Fairmont completed and starting operations, reducing operating costs and carbon footprint.
  • Green Plains Mount Vernon’s Project 24 conversion is underway and is expected to be in service during the fourth quarter 2020.
  • Project 24 is expected to be complete by the end of the first quarter 2021, and to drive overall operating expense below $0.24 per gallon.
  • Shenandoah’s high-protein facility achieved 100% production of quality high protein ingredients.
  • Wood River, Nebraska facility chosen for the second location for implementation of high protein production, expected completion late in the second quarter of 2021.

Headwinds

  • Disruption caused by health epidemics, such as the coronavirus outbreak.
  • Competition in the industries in which Green Plains operates.
  • Commodity market risks.
  • Financial market risks.
  • Counterparty risks.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.2%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.4%-1.2%-11.8%
Q4 2025+0.5%+16.9%+25.6%
Q3 2025+12.7%-2.5%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+35.0%+10.6%
Q4 2024-20.4%-24.8%-30.8%
Q3 2024+2.6%+10.6%-7.2%
Q2 2024-10.8%-18.4%-15.9%
Q1 2024-4.1%-5.6%-17.2%
Q4 2023+18.0%+22.9%+3.2%
Q3 2023-2.6%-1.4%-13.0%
Q2 2023-4.2%-1.1%-8.8%
Q1 2023-4.8%-11.1%-5.8%
Q4 2022+3.0%+4.2%-6.7%
Q3 2022+13.2%+19.6%+26.8%
Q2 2022+4.2%+3.5%-0.3%
Q1 2022+8.7%+14.5%+23.6%
Q4 2021-18.3%-14.6%-6.4%
Q3 2021+8.2%+7.1%-6.9%
Q2 2021+6.8%-1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+7.3%+9.9%
Q4 2020+13.6%+27.1%+31.7%
Q3 2020-2.3%+8.7%+3.9%
Q2 2020+2.1%+11.1%+8.0%
Q1 2020+17.0%+26.2%+66.0%
Q4 2019+5.0%+6.0%-52.5%
Q3 2019+12.3%+17.5%+7.7%
Q2 2019-3.3%-8.4%-7.0%
Q1 2019-2.4%-3.0%-22.3%
Q4 2018+7.9%+14.7%+20.9%
Q3 2018-0.3%-4.0%-11.5%
Q2 2018+4.8%+4.2%+6.9%
Q1 2018+7.0%+7.5%+15.0%
Q4 2017+8.6%+9.2%+13.4%
Q3 2017-8.5%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2017-4.5%-3.5%-12.1%
Q1 2017+10.2%+12.0%-7.2%
Q4 2016+11.2%+0.4%-4.4%
Q3 2016+2.5%-2.5%+5.4%
Q2 2016-5.2%-0.7%+7.1%
Q1 2016-6.8%
Q4 2015-19.3%
Q3 2015+10.5%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014+4.6%
Q3 2014+11.6%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+6.1%
Q4 2013+1.1%
Q3 2013+5.5%
Q2 2013-7.8%
Q1 2013+4.1%
Q4 2012+9.6%
Q3 2012+28.2%
Q2 2012-18.5%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012-10.3%
Q4 2009+5.6%
Q4 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.9%
Q1 2010+1.3%

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