NASDAQ$GPRE

Green Plains Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss due to lower agribusiness and energy services segment trading margins and higher depreciation expense, but margins have improved substantially across the platform.

Green Plains Inc. reported a net loss of $70.3 million, or ($1.20) per share, compared to a net loss of $61.5 million, or ($1.16) per share, for the same period last year. Revenues were $832.9 million compared to $781.4 million for the same period last year.

  • Achieved full production operating rates for Ultra-High Protein across five MSC locations.
  • Sold 52,000 tons of Ultra-High Protein in the first quarter, an increase of 40,000 tons over the same period in the prior year.
  • Consolidated crush margin of ($0.07) per gallon for the first quarter.
  • Financial position remains strong with $408.3 million of cash and cash equivalents, and $159.0 million available under a committed credit facility.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$833M

Previous: $781M+6.6%
EPS (adj)

-$1.20

Previous: -$1.16-3.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$32.6M

Previous: -$62M+47.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$103M

Previous: -$123M+16.6%
Net Income

-$70.3M

Previous: -$61.5M-14.4%
Operating Income

-$56.5M

Previous: -$47.9M-18.0%
Gross Profit

$7.94M

Previous: $8.93M-11.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$354M

Previous: $509M-30.4%
Total Assets

$2.03B

Previous: $2.25B-9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.83M

Previous: $1.88M+50.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Plains · Revenue · Quarterly

$833M

Q1 2023+6.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Plains · $838M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Ethanol Production
    $695M-11.0%
  • Agribusiness and Energy Services
    $142M

Forward guidance

The outlook for the second quarter and beyond has improved, and the company is well-positioned to participate in the upside, with margins now positive for the next several quarters.

Tailwinds

  • Margins have improved substantially across the platform.
  • Most of the platform is back to full production rates.
  • Strong driving demand in recent weeks.
  • Growth in nationwide E15 blending.
  • Larger initial corn acreage indication.

Headwinds

  • Still waiting for Wood River facility to return to operation.
  • Net loss attributable to Green Plains increased $8.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
  • Lower agribusiness and energy services segment trading margins.
  • Higher depreciation expense.
  • Income tax expense was $3.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023, compared with income tax benefit of $1.2 million for the same period in 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 65 earnings

Positive

+28.2%

Q3 2012

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.4%-1.2%-11.8%
Q4 2025+0.5%+16.9%+25.6%
Q3 2025+12.7%-2.5%-2.8%
Q1 2025+1.9%+35.0%+10.6%
Q4 2024-20.4%-24.8%-30.8%
Q3 2024+2.6%+10.6%-7.2%
Q2 2024-10.8%-18.4%-15.9%
Q1 2024-4.1%-5.6%-17.2%
Q4 2023+18.0%+22.9%+3.2%
Q3 2023-2.6%-1.4%-13.0%
Q2 2023-4.2%-1.1%-8.8%
Q1 2023-4.8%-11.1%-5.8%
Q4 2022+3.0%+4.2%-6.7%
Q3 2022+13.2%+19.6%+26.8%
Q2 2022+4.2%+3.5%-0.3%
Q1 2022+8.7%+14.5%+23.6%
Q4 2021-18.3%-14.6%-6.4%
Q3 2021+8.2%+7.1%-6.9%
Q2 2021+6.8%-1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+7.3%+9.9%
Q4 2020+13.6%+27.1%+31.7%
Q3 2020-2.3%+8.7%+3.9%
Q2 2020+2.1%+11.1%+8.0%
Q1 2020+17.0%+26.2%+66.0%
Q4 2019+5.0%+6.0%-52.5%
Q3 2019+12.3%+17.5%+7.7%
Q2 2019-3.3%-8.4%-7.0%
Q1 2019-2.4%-3.0%-22.3%
Q4 2018+7.9%+14.7%+20.9%
Q3 2018-0.3%-4.0%-11.5%
Q2 2018+4.8%+4.2%+6.9%
Q1 2018+7.0%+7.5%+15.0%
Q4 2017+8.6%+9.2%+13.4%
Q3 2017-8.5%-6.9%-7.2%
Q2 2017-4.5%-3.5%-12.1%
Q1 2017+10.2%+12.0%-7.2%
Q4 2016+11.2%+0.4%-4.4%
Q3 2016+2.5%-2.5%+5.4%
Q2 2016-5.2%-0.7%+7.1%
Q1 2016-6.8%
Q4 2015-19.3%
Q3 2015+10.5%
Q2 2015+4.8%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014+4.6%
Q3 2014+11.6%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+6.1%
Q4 2013+1.1%
Q3 2013+5.5%
Q2 2013-7.8%
Q1 2013+4.1%
Q4 2012+9.6%
Q3 2012+28.2%
Q2 2012-18.5%
Q1 2011-2.3%
Q1 2012-10.3%
Q4 2009+5.6%
Q4 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.4%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q2 2011-2.9%
Q1 2010+1.3%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro