NASDAQ$AFRM

Affirm · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Affirm reported strong Q4 2025 results with accelerating GMV growth and a return to GAAP profitability.

Affirm delivered Q4 revenue of $876 million, up 33% year-over-year, alongside GMV of $10.4 billion, up 43%. The company achieved GAAP net income of $69 million and operating income of $58 million, marking a significant improvement from the prior year loss. Adjusted operating income reached $237 million, or 27% of revenue.

  • GMV grew 43% to $10.4 billion, driven by 0% APR products, Affirm Card, and top merchants.
  • Revenue rose 33% to $876 million while RLTC increased 37% to $425 million.
  • GAAP operating income turned positive at $58 million (7% margin) versus a $73 million loss last year.
  • Active consumers reached 23.0 million (+24%) and active merchants hit 377 thousand (+24%).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$876M

Previous: $659M+33.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: -$0.14+250.0%
Gross Merchandise Volume

$10.4B

Previous: $7.2B+44.4%
Active Consumers

23.0M

Previous: 18.7M+23.0%
Transactions per Active Consumer

5.8

Previous: 4.9+18.4%
Active Merchants

376.8K

Previous: 303.0K+24.4%
Direct-to-Consumer GMV

$3.1B

No prior period
Affirm Card GMV

$1.2B

No prior period
Card Attach Rate

10.0%

No prior period
Net Income

$69.2M

Previous: -$45.1M+253.5%
Operating Income

$58.1M

Previous: -$73.5M+179.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly

$876M

Q4 2025+33%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Affirm provided FY2026 outlook expecting GMV above $46 billion and revenue of approximately 8.4% of GMV.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted operating margin expected above 26.1% for the full year.
  • Operating margin guidance above 6.0% for FY2026.
  • Continued funding capacity growth supporting over $60 billion annual GMV.

Headwinds

  • One enterprise merchant expected to transition volumes to its own wallet by FQ2'26.
  • 0% APR product mix expected to increase, pressuring RLTC margins.
  • International expansion not expected to be a material growth contributor in FY'26.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

9 / 26 earnings

Positive

+62.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2026-1.2%-6.2%-5.6%
Q2 2026-4.0%-4.8%-13.0%
Q1 2026+11.7%+19.7%+3.1%
Q3 2025-14.7%+4.2%+8.6%
Q2 2025+21.8%+22.5%-15.8%
Q1 2025-7.0%+15.2%+43.8%
Q4 2024+28.1%+35.4%+26.6%
Q3 2024-0.3%-8.3%-13.9%
Q2 2024-1.7%-10.9%-13.1%
Q1 2024+12.5%+3.6%+90.4%
Q4 2023+22.6%+32.0%+39.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+1.1%+57.9%
Q2 2023-22.8%-26.2%-39.7%
Q1 2023-22.6%+8.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-18.7%-22.1%-36.2%
Q3 2022+62.1%+72.5%+39.7%
Q2 2022-37.7%-40.0%-58.7%
Q1 2022-3.8%-6.2%-27.3%
Q4 2019-8.4%-3.0%+24.8%
Q4 2021+41.3%+23.4%+61.3%
Q3 2020-4.4%-1.2%+24.8%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%+11.6%
Q2 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q1 2021-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q4 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2021-7.6%-12.5%-41.6%
Q1 2020

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