NASDAQ$AFRM

Affirm · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Affirm reported strong financial performance for FQ2'25, surpassing expectations across all key metrics. The company achieved $866 million in revenue (up 47% YoY), $80.4 million in net income, and nearly break-even operating income. Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) grew 35% to $10.1 billion, driven by increased merchant adoption and 0% APR offers. Adjusted Operating Income reached $237.8 million with a 27.4% margin. Affirm also expanded into new markets, including the UK, and strengthened partnerships in travel, healthcare, and electronics.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$866M

Previous: $591M+46.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: -$0.54+142.6%
GMV

$10.1B

Previous: $7.5B+34.7%
Active Consumers

21.0M

Previous: 17.6M+19.3%
Tx per Consumer

5.3

Previous: 4.4+20.5%
Active Merchants

337.2K

Previous: 279.0K+20.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$88.1M

Previous: -$74.6M-18.1%
Net Income

$80.4M

Previous: -$167M+148.1%
Operating Income

$174M

Previous: -$172M+200.9%
Gross Profit

$750M

Previous: $470M+59.6%
R&D Expense

$148M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly

$866M

Q2 2025+46.6%vs Q2 2024
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Affirm expects continued GMV growth, targeting $8.00-$8.30 billion in FQ3'25 and $9.00-$9.30 billion in FQ4'25. Revenue is forecasted between $755-$785 million in FQ3 and $810-$840 million in FQ4. The company aims to achieve GAAP operating profitability by FQ4'25, with adjusted operating margins projected at 20-25%.

Tailwinds

  • Affirm expects GMV growth to remain strong, reaching $35B for FY25.
  • Revenue is projected to surpass $3.1 billion in FY25, up from $2.6 billion in FY24.
  • Adjusted operating margins are expected to improve further, reaching 23-25% in Q4 FY25.
  • The company has expanded funding capacity to $22.6 billion, ensuring liquidity for future growth.
  • Expansion in the UK and new merchant partnerships are expected to drive further adoption.

Headwinds

  • Operating income remains slightly negative, though breakeven is expected in FQ4'25.
  • Higher transaction costs, particularly related to funding costs and credit losses, could impact profitability.
  • Competition in the BNPL space remains intense, with rivals also expanding market share.
  • Macroeconomic conditions, including potential interest rate changes, could impact loan economics.
  • Delinquencies have slightly increased YoY due to expanded credit offerings.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

9 / 26 earnings

Positive

+62.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-1.2%-6.2%-5.6%
Q2 2026-4.0%-4.8%-13.0%
Q1 2026+11.7%+19.7%+3.1%
Q3 2025-14.7%+4.2%+8.6%
Q2 2025+21.8%+22.5%-15.8%
Q1 2025-7.0%+15.2%+43.8%
Q4 2024+28.1%+35.4%+26.6%
Q3 2024-0.3%-8.3%-13.9%
Q2 2024-1.7%-10.9%-13.1%
Q1 2024+12.5%+3.6%+90.4%
Q4 2023+22.6%+32.0%+39.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+1.1%+57.9%
Q2 2023-22.8%-26.2%-39.7%
Q1 2023-22.6%+8.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-18.7%-22.1%-36.2%
Q3 2022+62.1%+72.5%+39.7%
Q2 2022-37.7%-40.0%-58.7%
Q1 2022-3.8%-6.2%-27.3%
Q4 2019-8.4%-3.0%+24.8%
Q4 2021+41.3%+23.4%+61.3%
Q3 2020-4.4%-1.2%+24.8%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%+11.6%
Q1 2021-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q4 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2021-7.6%-12.5%-41.6%
Q1 2020

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