NASDAQ$AFRM

Affirm · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Affirm delivered outstanding results driven by GMV growth and revenue increase.

Affirm reported a strong second quarter in fiscal year 2024, with GMV growing 32% year-over-year to $7.5 billion and revenue increasing 48% year-over-year to $591 million. The company also generated $93 million in Adjusted Operating Income, a significant improvement from the previous year. Affirm Card saw substantial growth, with over 700,000 active cardholders generating $397 million in GMV.

  • GMV grew 32% year-over-year to $7.5 billion, accelerating for the third consecutive quarter.
  • Revenue grew 48% year-over-year to $591 million.
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs (RLTC) grew 68% year-over-year to $242 million, representing 3.2% of GMV.
  • Adjusted Operating Income was $93 million, compared to a loss of $62 million in the same quarter last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$591M

Previous: $400M+47.9%
EPS

-$0.54

Previous: -$1.10+50.9%
GMV

$7.5B

Previous: $5.7B+31.6%
Active Consumers

17.6M

Previous: 15.6M+12.8%
Tx per Consumer

4.4

Previous: 3.5+25.7%
Active Merchants

279.0K

Previous: 243.4K+14.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$74.6M

Previous: -$65.4M-14.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$241M

Previous: -$388M+37.7%
Net Income

-$167M

Previous: -$322M+48.2%
Operating Income

-$172M

Previous: -$360M+52.1%
Gross Profit

$470M

Previous: $293M+60.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$90.2M

Previous: $122M-26.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly

$591M

Q2 2024+47.9%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Affirm provided financial outlook for fiscal year 2024 and Q3 2024.

Tailwinds

  • GMV: more than $25.25 billion
  • Revenue as a percentage of GMV: increase ~65 basis points from FY’23
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs as a percentage of GMV: increase ~20 basis points from FY’23
  • Adjusted Operating Margin: more than 11 percent
  • Weighted Average Shares Outstanding: 311 million

Headwinds

  • Revenue: $530 to $550 million
  • Transaction Costs: $325 to $335 million
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs: $205 to $215 million
  • Adjusted Operating Margin: 6 to 8 percent
  • Weighted Average Shares Outstanding: 314 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

9 / 26 earnings

Positive

+62.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-1.2%-6.2%-5.6%
Q2 2026-4.0%-4.8%-13.0%
Q1 2026+11.7%+19.7%+3.1%
Q3 2025-14.7%+4.2%+8.6%
Q2 2025+21.8%+22.5%-15.8%
Q1 2025-7.0%+15.2%+43.8%
Q4 2024+28.1%+35.4%+26.6%
Q3 2024-0.3%-8.3%-13.9%
Q2 2024-1.7%-10.9%-13.1%
Q1 2024+12.5%+3.6%+90.4%
Q4 2023+22.6%+32.0%+39.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+1.1%+57.9%
Q2 2023-22.8%-26.2%-39.7%
Q1 2023-22.6%+8.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-18.7%-22.1%-36.2%
Q3 2022+62.1%+72.5%+39.7%
Q2 2022-37.7%-40.0%-58.7%
Q1 2022-3.8%-6.2%-27.3%
Q4 2019-8.4%-3.0%+24.8%
Q4 2021+41.3%+23.4%+61.3%
Q3 2020-4.4%-1.2%+24.8%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%+11.6%
Q1 2021-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q4 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2021-7.6%-12.5%-41.6%
Q1 2020

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