NASDAQ$AFRM

Affirm · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Affirm experienced accelerated growth and consistent credit outcomes, managing to a 3.8% RLTC as a percentage of GMV.

Affirm's FQ1 2025 demonstrated strong performance, with the company meeting or exceeding all metrics provided in the August outlook. GMV grew by 35% year-over-year, and active consumer growth accelerated for the third consecutive quarter. The company is on track to reach GAAP operating income profitability in FQ4 2025.

  • GMV grew 35% year-over-year to $7.6 billion.
  • Revenue increased 41% year-over-year to $698 million.
  • Active consumers increased 21% year-over-year to 19.5 million.
  • Active merchant count increased 21% year-over-year to 323,000.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$698M

Previous: $497M+40.7%
EPS

-$0.31

Previous: -$0.57+45.6%
GMV

$7.6B

Previous: $5.6B+35.7%
Active Consumers

19.5M

Previous: 16.9M+15.4%
Tx per Consumer

5.1

Previous: 4.1+24.4%
Active Merchants

323.0K

Previous: 266.3K+21.3%
DTC GMV

$2.09B

No prior period
Affirm Card GMV

$596M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$44.2M

Previous: -$35.8M-23.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$144M

Previous: -$208M+30.5%
Net Income

-$100M

Previous: -$172M+41.7%
Operating Income

-$133M

Previous: -$209M+36.7%
Gross Profit

$539M

Previous: $397M+35.7%
R&D Expense

$134M

Previous: $133M+1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$94.2M

Previous: $112M-16.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly

$698M

Q1 2025+40.7%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Affirm provided financial outlook for Fiscal Q2 2025 and Fiscal Year 2025. The company expects to achieve operating income profitability on a GAAP basis in FQ4'25 and plans to operate the business going forward in a manner designed to maintain profitability on this basis.

Tailwinds

  • GMV for fiscal Q2 2025 is expected to be $9.35 to $9.75 billion.
  • Revenue for fiscal Q2 2025 is expected to be $770 to $810 million.
  • Adjusted Operating Margin for fiscal Q2 2025 is expected to be 21 to 23 percent.
  • GMV for fiscal year 2025 is expected to be more than $34 billion.
  • Revenue for fiscal year 2025 is expected to be at least 20 basis points higher than FY'24 as a % of GMV.

Headwinds

  • Transaction Costs for fiscal Q2 2025 are expected to be $420 to $440 million.
  • Transaction Costs for fiscal year 2025 are expected to be similar to FY'24 as a % of GMV.
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs for fiscal Q2 2025 is expected to be $350 to $370 million.
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs for fiscal year 2025 is expected to be at least 20 basis points higher than FY'24 as a % of GMV.
  • Weighted Average Shares Outstanding for fiscal Q2 2025 and fiscal year 2025 are expected to be 322 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

9 / 26 earnings

Positive

+62.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-1.2%-6.2%-5.6%
Q2 2026-4.0%-4.8%-13.0%
Q1 2026+11.7%+19.7%+3.1%
Q3 2025-14.7%+4.2%+8.6%
Q2 2025+21.8%+22.5%-15.8%
Q1 2025-7.0%+15.2%+43.8%
Q4 2024+28.1%+35.4%+26.6%
Q3 2024-0.3%-8.3%-13.9%
Q2 2024-1.7%-10.9%-13.1%
Q1 2024+12.5%+3.6%+90.4%
Q4 2023+22.6%+32.0%+39.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+1.1%+57.9%
Q2 2023-22.8%-26.2%-39.7%
Q1 2023-22.6%+8.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-18.7%-22.1%-36.2%
Q3 2022+62.1%+72.5%+39.7%
Q2 2022-37.7%-40.0%-58.7%
Q1 2022-3.8%-6.2%-27.3%
Q4 2019-8.4%-3.0%+24.8%
Q4 2021+41.3%+23.4%+61.3%
Q3 2020-4.4%-1.2%+24.8%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%+11.6%
Q1 2021-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q4 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2021-7.6%-12.5%-41.6%
Q1 2020

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