NASDAQ$AFRM

Affirm · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Affirm's Q1 2022 results exceeded financial outlook and raised outlook for GMV, revenue, and revenue less transaction costs.

Affirm reported a strong first quarter in fiscal year 2022, with significant growth in GMV, active merchants, and active consumers. The company expanded its relationship with Amazon and continued its partnership with Peloton. Total revenue increased by 55% year-over-year, driven by growth in interest income, network revenue, and gains on sales of loans.

  • Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) increased by 84% to $2.7 billion.
  • Active merchants grew from 6,500 to 102,000, primarily due to the adoption of Shop Pay Installments.
  • Active consumers increased by 124% to 8.7 million.
  • Total revenue increased by 55% to $269.4 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$269M

Previous: $174M+54.8%
EPS (adj)

-$1.13

Previous: -$0.06-1783.3%
GMV

$2.7B

Previous: $1.5B+80.0%
Active Consumers

8.7M

Previous: 3.9M+123.1%
Tx per Consumer

2.3

Previous: 2.2+4.5%
Active Merchants

102.0K

Previous: 6.5K+1469.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$16.3M

Previous: $4.17M-492.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$323M

Previous: -$6.47M-4889.4%
Net Income

-$307M

Previous: -$15.3M-1907.3%
Operating Income

-$166M

Previous: -$44.6M-272.2%
Gross Profit

$206M

Previous: $127M+62.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.44B

Previous: $786M+83.2%
Total Assets

$5.4B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$93.2M

Previous: $6.2M+1402.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly

$269M

Q1 2022+54.8%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 10 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Affirm provided financial outlook for the fiscal second quarter and full year 2022, assuming no material impact from the Affirm Debit+ card or the partnership in Australia.

Tailwinds

  • GMV for fiscal Q2 2022 is expected to be $3.55 to $3.65 billion.
  • Revenue for fiscal Q2 2022 is expected to be $320 to $330 million.
  • GMV for fiscal year 2022 is expected to be $13.13 to $13.38 billion.
  • Revenue for fiscal year 2022 is expected to be $1,225 to $1,250 million.
  • Transaction Costs for fiscal year 2022 is expected to be $645 to $655 million.

Headwinds

  • Transaction Costs for fiscal Q2 2022 is expected to be $143 to $148 million.
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs for fiscal Q2 2022 is expected to be $178 to $183 million.
  • Adjusted Operating Loss as a Percentage of Revenue for fiscal Q2 2022 is expected to be (7) to (5) percent.
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs for fiscal year 2022 is expected to be $580 to $595 million.
  • Adjusted Operating Loss as a Percentage of Revenue for fiscal year 2022 is expected to be (14) to (12) percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

9 / 26 earnings

Positive

+62.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-1.2%-6.2%-5.6%
Q2 2026-4.0%-4.8%-13.0%
Q1 2026+11.7%+19.7%+3.1%
Q3 2025-14.7%+4.2%+8.6%
Q2 2025+21.8%+22.5%-15.8%
Q1 2025-7.0%+15.2%+43.8%
Q4 2024+28.1%+35.4%+26.6%
Q3 2024-0.3%-8.3%-13.9%
Q2 2024-1.7%-10.9%-13.1%
Q1 2024+12.5%+3.6%+90.4%
Q4 2023+22.6%+32.0%+39.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+1.1%+57.9%
Q2 2023-22.8%-26.2%-39.7%
Q1 2023-22.6%+8.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-18.7%-22.1%-36.2%
Q3 2022+62.1%+72.5%+39.7%
Q2 2022-37.7%-40.0%-58.7%
Q1 2022-3.8%-6.2%-27.3%
Q4 2019-8.4%-3.0%+24.8%
Q4 2021+41.3%+23.4%+61.3%
Q3 2020-4.4%-1.2%+24.8%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%+11.6%
Q1 2021-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q4 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2021-7.6%-12.5%-41.6%
Q1 2020

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