NASDAQ$AFRM
Affirm · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Affirm delivered strong performance driven by GMV growth and active consumer increase.
Affirm Holdings, Inc. reported a 39% increase in total revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2022, driven by continued GMV growth, higher interest income, and greater servicing income. Active merchants increased significantly, and active consumers grew by 96% year-over-year.
- GMV increased by 77% to $4.4 billion.
- Active merchants increased from 29,000 to 235,000.
- Active consumers grew by 96% to 14.0 million.
- Total revenue increased by 39% to $364.1 million.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly
$364M
Forward guidance
Affirm provided financial outlook for the fiscal first quarter and full year 2023, assuming the current forward interest rate curve and early signs of macroeconomic stress persisting through the fiscal year.
Tailwinds
- GMV for fiscal Q1 2023 is expected to be $4.20 to $4.40 billion.
- Revenue for fiscal Q1 2023 is expected to be $345 to $365 million.
- GMV for fiscal year 2023 is expected to be $20.50 to $22.00 billion.
- Revenue for fiscal year 2023 is expected to be $1,625 to $1,725 million.
- The Company expects equity capital required as a percent of total platform portfolio to remain below 5% throughout the fiscal year.
Headwinds
- Transaction Costs for fiscal Q1 2023 is expected to be $176 to $188 million.
- Revenue Less Transaction Costs for fiscal Q1 2023 is expected to be $169 to $177 million.
- Adjusted Operating Margin for fiscal Q1 2023 is expected to be (12) to (10) percent.
- Transaction Costs for fiscal year 2023 is expected to be $865 to $915 million.
- Adjusted Operating Margin for fiscal year 2023 is expected to be (6.5) to (4.5) percent.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
+0.6%
Avg return
Earnings day
+2.3%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.4%
Avg return
30 days after
35%
9 / 26 earnings
Positive
+62.1%
Q3 2022
Best reaction
-37.7%
Q2 2022
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.2% | -6.2% | -5.6% | |
| Q2 2026 | -4.0% | -4.8% | -13.0% | |
| Q1 2026 | +11.7% | +19.7% | +3.1% | |
| Q3 2025 | -14.7% | +4.2% | +8.6% | |
| Q2 2025 | +21.8% | +22.5% | -15.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -7.0% | +15.2% | +43.8% | |
| Q4 2024 | +28.1% | +35.4% | +26.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | -0.3% | -8.3% | -13.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | -1.7% | -10.9% | -13.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +12.5% | +3.6% | +90.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | +22.6% | +32.0% | +39.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | +2.6% | +1.1% | +57.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | -22.8% | -26.2% | -39.7% | |
| Q1 2023 | -22.6% | +8.8% | -25.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | -18.7% | -22.1% | -36.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | +62.1% | +72.5% | +39.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | -37.7% | -40.0% | -58.7% | |
| Q1 2022 | -3.8% | -6.2% | -27.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | -8.4% | -3.0% | +24.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | +41.3% | +23.4% | +61.3% | |
| Q3 2020 | -4.4% | -1.2% | +24.8% | |
| Q3 2021 | +2.7% | +0.0% | +11.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -11.4% | -12.0% | -35.1% | |
| Q4 2020 | -11.4% | -12.0% | -35.1% | |
| Q2 2020 | -11.4% | -12.0% | -35.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | -7.6% | -12.5% | -41.6% | |
| Q1 2020 | — | — | — |
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