NASDAQ$AFRM

Affirm · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Affirm's Q2 2021 financial results showcased substantial growth in GMV, active consumers, and revenue, driven by its mission to provide honest financial products.

Affirm reported a 57% increase in revenue, reaching $204.0 million, and a 55% increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) to $2.1 billion. The company's active consumers grew by 52% to 4.5 million, and transactions per active consumer increased by 7% to 2.2. Despite the growth, the company reported a net loss of $31.6 million.

  • Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) increased by 55% year-over-year to $2.1 billion.
  • Active consumers grew by 52% year-over-year, reaching 4.5 million.
  • Transactions per active consumer increased by 7% year-over-year, reaching 2.2.
  • Total revenue increased by 57% year-over-year to $204.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$204M

Previous: $218M-6.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.45

Previous: -$1.55+71.0%
GMV

$2.1B

Previous: $1.3B+61.5%
Active Consumers

4.5M

Previous: 3.0M+50.0%
Tx per Consumer

2.2

Previous: 2.1+4.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.06M

Previous: $13.5M-152.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$38.6M

Previous: -$48.1M+19.8%
Net Income

-$31.6M

Previous: -$31M-1.8%
Operating Income

-$31.7M

Previous: -$32.6M+2.8%
Gross Profit

$187M

Previous: $86.7M+115.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$521M

Previous: $255M+104.4%
Total Assets

$2.71B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$6.52M

Previous: $16.8M-61.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Affirm · Revenue · Quarterly

$204M

Q2 2021-6.4%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 10 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Affirm provided guidance for the third quarter and full year fiscal 2021.

Tailwinds

  • GMV is expected to be between $1.80 to $1.85 billion for Q3 2021 and $7.25 to $7.35 billion for the full year 2021.
  • Revenue is expected to be between $185 to $195 million for Q3 2021 and $760 to $780 million for the full year 2021.
  • Revenue Less Transaction Costs is expected to be between $60 to $65 million for Q3 2021 and $260 to $270 million for the full year 2021.
  • Weighted Average Shares Outstanding are expected to be 226 million for Q3 2021 and 155 million for the full year 2021.

Headwinds

  • Transaction Costs are expected to be between $125 to $130 million for Q3 2021 and $500 to $510 million for the full year 2021.
  • Adjusted Operating Loss is expected to be between $(47.5) to $(52.5) million for Q3 2021 and $(120) to $(130) million for the full year 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

35%

9 / 26 earnings

Positive

+62.1%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-37.7%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-1.2%-6.2%-5.6%
Q2 2026-4.0%-4.8%-13.0%
Q1 2026+11.7%+19.7%+3.1%
Q3 2025-14.7%+4.2%+8.6%
Q2 2025+21.8%+22.5%-15.8%
Q1 2025-7.0%+15.2%+43.8%
Q4 2024+28.1%+35.4%+26.6%
Q3 2024-0.3%-8.3%-13.9%
Q2 2024-1.7%-10.9%-13.1%
Q1 2024+12.5%+3.6%+90.4%
Q4 2023+22.6%+32.0%+39.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+1.1%+57.9%
Q2 2023-22.8%-26.2%-39.7%
Q1 2023-22.6%+8.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-18.7%-22.1%-36.2%
Q3 2022+62.1%+72.5%+39.7%
Q2 2022-37.7%-40.0%-58.7%
Q1 2022-3.8%-6.2%-27.3%
Q4 2019-8.4%-3.0%+24.8%
Q4 2021+41.3%+23.4%+61.3%
Q3 2020-4.4%-1.2%+24.8%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%+11.6%
Q1 2021-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q4 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2020-11.4%-12.0%-35.1%
Q2 2021-7.6%-12.5%-41.6%
Q1 2020

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