NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADS's financial performance improved significantly due to sales growth and strategic initiatives.

Advanced Drainage Systems reported a strong fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021, marked by a 19.7% increase in net sales to $443.8 million and a 488.1% increase in net income to $20.8 million. The company's adjusted EBITDA also increased by 31.1% to $94.5 million. The growth was driven by strong demand in residential and agriculture end markets, as well as horizontal construction in the non-residential market.

  • Net sales increased by 19.7% to $443.8 million.
  • Net income increased by 488.1% to $20.8 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 31.1% to $94.5 million.
  • The company achieved record profitability due to strong sales growth, favorable pricing, and operational productivity initiatives.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$444M

Previous: $371M+19.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.01+2200.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$94.5M

Previous: $72.1M+31.1%
Capital Expenditures

$21.1M

Previous: $21.4M-1.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$17.6M

Previous: -$11.5M-53.2%
Net Income

$20.8M

Previous: $3.53M+488.1%
Operating Income

$32.9M

Previous: $6.76M+386.6%
Gross Profit

$127M

Previous: $109M+17.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$195M

Previous: $174M+11.9%
Total Assets

$2.41B

Previous: $2.37B+1.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$20M

Previous: $5.03M+298.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$444M

Q4 2021+19.7%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $444M total across 5 segments · Q4 2021

  • Domestic Pipe
    $238M+17.8%
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $97.9M+11.5%
  • Wastewater
    $76.5M+31.7%
  • International
    $22.5M+37.2%
  • International - Allied Products & Other
    $9.16M+38.2%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2022, net sales are expected to be in the range of $2.220 billion to $2.300 billion and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $635 to $665 million. Capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $130 million to $150 million.

Tailwinds

  • Order book continues to be favorable on a year-over-year basis.
  • Project tracking continues to be favorable on a year-over-year basis.
  • Book-to-bill ratio continues to be favorable on a year-over-year basis.
  • Backlog continues to be favorable on a year-over-year basis.
  • Optimistic about improving forward looking market indicators

Headwinds

  • Building inflationary cost pressure on materials
  • Building inflationary cost pressure on labor
  • Building inflationary cost pressure on transportation
  • Offsetting building inflationary cost pressure on materials by disciplined execution
  • Offsetting building inflationary cost pressure on materials by achieving favorable pricing and operational improvements, as well as disciplined capital spending

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%+1.0%+7.7%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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