NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Advanced Drainage Systems' financial performance was reported for Q3 2025, showing increased net sales but decreased net income and adjusted EBITDA.

Advanced Drainage Systems (ADS) reported a 4.3% increase in net sales to $690.5 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. However, net income decreased by 23.0% to $82.3 million, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by 6.2% to $191.5 million. The company's Infiltrator business modestly outperformed expectations, driven by double-digit growth in tanks and advanced treatment products.

  • Net sales increased by 4.3% to $690.5 million compared to the prior year quarter.
  • Net income decreased by 23.0% to $82.3 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 6.2% to $191.5 million.
  • The company acquired Orenco, expanding its offering in decentralized wastewater treatment.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$691M

Previous: $662M+4.3%
EPS

$1.04

Previous: $1.34-22.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$191M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

27.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$166M

Previous: -$136M-22.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$85.2M

Previous: -$30.7M-177.0%
Net Income

$81.2M

Previous: $106M-23.1%
Operating Income

$127M

Previous: $153M-17.2%
Gross Profit

$242M

Previous: $260M-7.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$489M

Previous: $561M-12.8%
Total Assets

$3.6B

Previous: $3.16B+13.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$691M

Q3 2025+4.3%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $3.09B total across 4 segments · Q4 2026

  • Domestic Pipe
    $1.5B
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $750M
  • Wastewater
    $653M
  • International
    $188M

Forward guidance

The Company is confirming its previously issued financial targets for fiscal 2025. Net sales are expected to be in the range of $2.900 billion to $2.975 billion and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $880 million to $920 million. Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $225 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be in the range of $2.900 billion to $2.975 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $880 million to $920 million.
  • Focused on executing sales strategies.
  • Driving increased productivity.
  • Delivering exceptional service to customers.

Headwinds

  • Fluctuations in the price and availability of resins and other raw materials.
  • Disruption or volatility in general business and economic conditions.
  • Cyclicality and seasonality of the non-residential and residential construction markets.
  • Risks of increasing competition in existing and future markets.
  • Uncertainties surrounding the integration and realization of anticipated benefits of acquisitions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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