NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADS experienced substantial growth and profitability in Q3 2021.

Advanced Drainage Systems reported a strong third quarter in fiscal year 2021, marked by a 23.6% increase in net sales, reaching $486.1 million, and a 128.4% surge in net income, totaling $54.0 million. The company's adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant rise of 52.1%, amounting to $138.9 million. These results reflect the company's successful execution of its material conversion strategy and its ability to capitalize on favorable demand across various markets and geographies.

  • Net sales increased by 23.6% to $486.1 million, driven by growth in both residential and non-residential sectors.
  • Net income surged by 128.4% to $54.0 million, highlighting improved profitability.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose by 52.1% to $138.9 million, reflecting efficient operational performance and synergy benefits.
  • The company is optimistic about its business outlook, with a favorable order book and backlog.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$486M

Previous: $393M+23.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.62

Previous: $0.28+121.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$139M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$28.7M

Previous: -$20.7M-38.9%
Free Cash Flow

$25.1M

Previous: $2.62M+857.5%
Net Income

$53.8M

Previous: $23.3M+130.9%
Operating Income

$83M

Previous: $41M+102.3%
Gross Profit

$169M

Previous: $123M+36.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$224M

Previous: $98.3M+127.8%
Total Assets

$2.34B

Previous: $2.25B+4.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.3M

Previous: $11.3M+62.4%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$486M

Q3 2021+23.6%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $486M total across 5 segments · Q3 2021

  • Domestic Pipe
    $253M+21.8%
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $110M+23.3%
  • Wastewater
    $81.2M+38.8%
  • International
    $30.8M+8.5%
  • International - Allied Products & Other
    $11.6M+15.2%

Forward guidance

ADS anticipates net sales to be in the range of $1.915 billion to $1.950 billion and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $550 to $565 million for fiscal year 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Favorable order book
  • Project tracking
  • Book-to-bill ratio
  • Growing residential development
  • Horizontal construction

Headwinds

  • Pandemic impact on business
  • Fluctuations in resin prices
  • Raw material availability
  • Volatility in economic conditions
  • Cyclicality of construction markets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%+1.0%+7.7%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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