NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADS's financial performance was strong, driven by sales growth and the acquisition of Infiltrator Water Technologies.

ADS reported a strong third quarter with a 23.7% increase in net sales to $393.4 million and a significant rise in adjusted EBITDA by 88.5% to $91.3 million. The acquisition of Infiltrator Water Technologies contributed significantly to both net sales and adjusted EBITDA. The company is optimistic about achieving its fiscal year 2020 goals.

  • Net sales increased by 23.7% to $393.4 million.
  • Net income increased to $23.7 million compared to $16.6 million in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 88.5% to $91.3 million.
  • Infiltrator Water Technologies contributed $72.1 million to net sales and $26.5 million to Adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$393M

Previous: $318M+23.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.25+12.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$20.7M

Previous: -$11.8M-74.7%
Free Cash Flow

$2.62M

Previous: $3.98M-34.3%
Net Income

$23.3M

Previous: $15.8M+47.3%
Operating Income

$41M

Previous: $24.9M+64.7%
Gross Profit

$123M

Previous: $72.4M+70.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$98.3M

Previous: $19.8M+397.6%
Total Assets

$2.25B

Previous: $1.01B+123.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.3M

Previous: $4.38M+157.5%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$393M

Q3 2020+23.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $393M total across 5 segments · Q3 2020

  • Domestic Pipe
    $208M
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $88.9M
  • Wastewater
    $58.5M
  • International
    $28.3M
  • International - Allied Products & Other
    $10.1M

Forward guidance

The company expects full-year fiscal 2020 net sales and Adjusted EBITDA to be at the higher end of previously communicated guidance ranges.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be in the range of $1.600 billion to $1.650 billion
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $325 million to $345 million
  • Capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $75 million to $85 million
  • Benefitting from outperformance of legacy ADS business
  • Benefitting from outperformance of Infiltrator Water Technologies

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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