NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q3 2026 earnings

Q3 2026 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Advanced Drainage Systems announced its financial results for the third quarter ended December 31, 2025, reporting increases in net sales, net income, diluted EPS, and Adjusted EBITDA.

Advanced Drainage Systems (ADS) delivered a strong third quarter for fiscal 2026, with net sales increasing by 0.4% to $693.4 million and net income rising by 14.3% to $94.0 million. Diluted EPS grew by 14.4% to $1.19, and Adjusted EBITDA saw a 9.3% increase to $209.2 million, reflecting improved profitability and strategic portfolio shifts towards higher-margin products. The company also announced a new $1 billion stock repurchase authorization and updated its fiscal 2026 guidance.

  • Net sales increased by $2.8 million (0.4%) to $693.4 million, demonstrating continued growth despite a mixed demand environment.
  • Net income rose significantly by $11.7 million (14.3%) to $94.0 million, driven by favorable price/cost dynamics and a strategic shift to higher-margin products.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $17.7 million (9.3%) to $209.2 million, with the Adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 30.2% for the quarter.
  • The company announced a new $1 billion stock repurchase authorization, bringing the total authorization to $1.148 billion, reinforcing its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$693M

Previous: $691M+0.4%
EPS

$1.19

Previous: $1.04+14.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$209M

Previous: $191M+9.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

30.2%

Previous: 27.7%+9.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$197M

Previous: -$166M-18.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$103M

Previous: -$85.2M-21.1%
Net Income

$93.6M

Previous: $81.2M+15.3%
Operating Income

$137M

Previous: $127M+7.9%
Gross Profit

$259M

Previous: $242M+7.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.01B

Previous: $489M+106.2%
Total Assets

$4.14B

Previous: $3.6B+15.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$693M

Q3 2026+0.4%vs Q3 2025
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $3.09B total across 4 segments · Q4 2026

  • Domestic Pipe
    $1.5B
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $750M
  • Wastewater
    $653M
  • International
    $188M

Forward guidance

Advanced Drainage Systems updated its Fiscal 2026 guidance, expecting net sales between $2.990 billion and $3.040 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA between $930 million and $960 million. Capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $250 million.

Tailwinds

  • Strong year-to-date performance provides a solid foundation for the updated guidance.
  • The recent acquisition of NDS is expected to contribute positively to the remaining fiscal year results.
  • Continued strategic shift towards higher-margin products is expected to enhance profitability.
  • Ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders through a new $1 billion stock repurchase authorization.
  • Well-positioned to drive market conversion and accelerate organic and inorganic growth.

Headwinds

  • The end market outlook for the remainder of Fiscal 2026 reflects a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • Mixed end market demand is anticipated to persist.
  • Uncertainties surrounding the integration and realization of anticipated benefits of acquisitions, including NDS.
  • Risks associated with unexpected costs, liabilities, or failure to fully realize cost savings and synergies from acquisitions.
  • Fluctuations in the price and availability of resins and other raw materials, and the ability to pass increased costs to customers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2026

Historical avgQ3 2026

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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