NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADS reported strong Q2 fiscal 2021 results with increased net sales and profitability.

Advanced Drainage Systems announced a strong second quarter for fiscal year 2021, with net sales increasing by 9.7% to $544.2 million and net income increasing significantly to $80.6 million. The company's adjusted EBITDA also saw a substantial increase of 47.3% to $174.1 million. The company is optimistic about the second half of the fiscal year, expecting normal seasonal patterns and capitalizing on residential development and horizontal construction.

  • Net sales increased by 9.7% to $544.2 million.
  • Net income increased to $80.6 million, compared to $8.5 million in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) increased 47.3% to $174.1 million.
  • The company's national presence and exposure to residential end market benefitted the results.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$544M

Previous: $496M+9.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.93

Previous: $0.36+158.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$174M

Previous: $118M+47.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$18.7M

Previous: -$15.9M-17.4%
Free Cash Flow

$61.6M

Previous: -$8.31M+840.9%
Net Income

$80.2M

Previous: $7.59M+957.3%
Operating Income

$122M

Previous: $57.2M+112.5%
Gross Profit

$206M

Previous: $147M+40.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$204M

Previous: $54.2M+276.1%
Total Assets

$2.37B

Previous: $2.3B+3.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$14.6M

Previous: $8.66M+68.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$544M

Q2 2021+9.7%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $544M total across 5 segments · Q2 2021

  • Domestic Pipe
    $290M+3.4%
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $118M+3.2%
  • Wastewater
    $87.3M+65.6%
  • International
    $34.7M+0.2%
  • International - Allied Products & Other
    $13.7M+4.1%

Forward guidance

ADS expects net sales to be in the range of $1.790 billion to $1.840 billion and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $495 million to $515 million for fiscal year 2021. Capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $80 million to $90 million.

Tailwinds

  • Based on current orderbook and market trends.
  • Visibility into the second half of fiscal 2021.
  • Strong financial performance in the first half of fiscal 2021.
  • Expect volume in the second half of the year to be consistent with the prior year, driven by seasonality.
  • Expect modest improvement in year-over-year profitability despite inflationary pressure as well as investments in both capital and our organization to drive future value.

Headwinds

  • Guidance does not contemplate any further change in economic conditions due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Inflationary pressure.
  • Investments in capital.
  • Investments in organization to drive future value.
  • Uncertainties still exist regarding the broader market environment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%+1.0%+7.7%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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