NYSE$WMS

Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADS's financial performance was solid despite a challenging demand environment.

Advanced Drainage Systems reported a decrease in net sales by 8.4% to $655.2 million, but net income increased by 11.7% to $83.2 million. The company managed costs effectively, maintained favorable price/material cost, and generated significant cash flow, resulting in an expanded Adjusted EBITDA margin and increased free cash flow.

  • Net sales decreased 8.4% to $655.2 million.
  • Net income increased 11.7% to $83.2 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 3.6% to $169.7 million.
  • Free cash flow increased $440 million, or 370% over the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$655M

Previous: $715M-8.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.99

Previous: $0.86+15.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$51.3M

Previous: -$36.6M-40.2%
Free Cash Flow

$30.7M

Previous: $37.1M-17.1%
Net Income

$82M

Previous: $73.7M+11.3%
Operating Income

$124M

Previous: $110M+12.8%
Gross Profit

$224M

Previous: $209M+7.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$427M

Previous: $22.2M+1824.4%
Total Assets

$3.01B

Previous: $2.56B+17.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.18M

Previous: $23.5M-73.7%

Revenue & EPS history

ADS · Revenue · Quarterly

$655M

Q3 2023-8.4%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADS · $655M total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Domestic Pipe
    $365M-8.0%
  • Domestic Allied Products
    $148M+1.1%
  • Wastewater
    $88.9M-27.3%
  • International
    $39.6M+11.6%
  • International - Allied Products & Other
    $14.1M-4.2%

Forward guidance

The Company updated its financial targets for fiscal 2023. Net sales are now expected to be in the range of $2.975 billion to $3.050 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be in the range of $850 to $890 million. Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $175 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

34 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-26.7%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.4%
Q3 2026+6.1%+9.2%-8.8%
Q2 2026+8.9%+9.7%+10.5%
Q1 2026+17.3%+20.1%+30.3%
Q4 2025-3.4%-2.7%-7.1%
Q3 2025+1.4%+9.5%-1.0%
Q2 2025-14.6%-16.3%-18.3%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.7%-3.0%
Q3 2024+17.4%+14.4%+17.1%
Q2 2024+4.1%+3.5%+16.0%
Q1 2025+4.2%+7.2%+4.2%
Q4 2023+8.9%+8.3%+24.6%
Q3 2023-10.9%-8.4%-13.8%
Q2 2023-26.7%-25.0%-16.0%
Q1 2023+16.0%+16.0%+10.8%
Q4 2022+5.7%+7.6%-17.6%
Q3 2022+5.7%+1.9%+5.2%
Q2 2022+10.6%+18.4%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.2%-4.2%-4.6%
Q4 2021+5.9%+8.8%-3.3%
Q3 2021+16.5%+15.0%+19.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-7.8%+11.5%
Q1 2021+11.2%+11.5%+11.2%
Q4 2020+7.1%+6.1%+17.6%
Q3 2020+6.6%+7.6%+4.2%
Q2 2020+0.0%+1.4%+1.6%
Q1 2020+1.8%+1.7%-4.7%
Q4 2019+9.2%+6.5%+13.7%
Q3 2019-5.9%-3.7%-6.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-8.4%-11.0%
Q1 2019+7.8%+10.8%+14.0%
Q4 2018+18.1%+15.0%+11.6%
Q3 2018+11.9%+21.7%+21.5%
Q2 2018+10.1%+11.1%+21.4%
Q1 2018+0.3%+13.1%-0.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-7.4%
Q3 2017+1.2%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017+5.1%+1.1%+7.5%
Q1 2017-6.0%-2.5%-18.4%
Q2 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q4 2016+9.5%+7.9%+11.1%
Q1 2016+0.4%-1.6%+11.2%
Q3 2016+3.8%+5.6%+10.7%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q3 2015-0.0%
Q2 2015+10.8%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013

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