NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record third quarter results with significant year-over-year growth in home closings revenue and diluted EPS.

Green Brick Partners reported a record third quarter in 2024, marked by a 25.7% increase in home closings revenue year-over-year, reaching $522.9 million. Diluted EPS also saw a significant rise of 26.9% to $1.98. Net new home orders increased by 11.3% to 877 units.

  • Home closings revenue reached a record $522.9 million, up 25.7% year-over-year.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 26.9% year-over-year to a record $1.98 per share.
  • Net new home orders grew by 11.3% year-over-year to 877 units.
  • Homebuilding gross margin remained strong at 32.7%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$524M

Previous: $419M+25.0%
EPS

$1.98

Previous: $1.56+26.9%
New Homes Delivered

956

Previous: 754+26.8%
Homebuilding Debt-to-Capital

16.4%

Previous: 21.8%-24.8%
Net Debt-to-Capital

12.5%

Previous: 9.0%+38.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.48M

Previous: -$4.79M+27.3%
Free Cash Flow

$85.6M

Previous: $67.4M+27.1%
Net Income

$89.1M

Previous: $72.2M+23.5%
Operating Income

$113M

Previous: $92.2M+22.1%
Gross Profit

$172M

Previous: $139M+23.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$524M

Q3 2024+25%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $419M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Units
    $416M+4.8%
  • Land and Lots
    $3.06M-72.7%

Forward guidance

Green Brick Partners expects to achieve record revenue for the fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Demographic shifts and housing supply shortage will continue to bolster the industry.
  • Green Brick is well poised to capitalize on pent-up housing demand and industry tailwinds.
  • Active selling communities and homes under construction are up year-over-year.
  • Superior land and lot positions will continue to serve as the springboard for growth.
  • Finished lot costs as a percentage of home closings revenue to remain essentially flat for 2024 and 2025.

Headwinds

  • General economic conditions, seasonality, cyclicality and competition in the homebuilding industry.
  • Changes in macroeconomic conditions, including increasing interest rates and inflation that could adversely impact demand for new homes or the ability of potential buyers to qualify.
  • Shortages, delays or increased costs of raw materials and increased demand for materials, or increases in other operating costs, including costs related to labor, real estate taxes and insurance, which in each case exceed our ability to increase prices.
  • Significant periods of inflation or deflation.
  • A shortage of qualified labor.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

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