NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter results with EPS increasing by 81.3%.

Green Brick Partners reported strong Q4 2020 results, with an 81.3% increase in EPS and an 84.1% increase in net income. Total revenues increased by 10.4% compared to the same period last year.

  • EPS increased by 81.3% to $0.58 compared to Q4 2019.
  • Net income attributable to Green Brick increased by 84.1% to $29.3 million.
  • Total revenues increased by 10.4% to $254.1 million.
  • Gross profit increased by 31.1% to $63.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$254M

Previous: $230M+10.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $0.31+87.1%
Cancellation Rate

8.6%

No prior period
Avg Sales Price Backlog

$470K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$1.16M

Previous: $731K+58.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$30.2M

Previous: -$1.56M-1839.4%
Net Income

$29.3M

Previous: $15.9M+84.1%
Gross Profit

$63.9M

Previous: $48.7M+31.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$19.5M

Previous: $33.3M-41.4%
Total Assets

$989M

Previous: $876M+12.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.1M

Previous: $2.19M-4.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$254M

Q4 2020+10.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $419M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Units
    $416M+4.8%
  • Land and Lots
    $3.06M-72.7%

Forward guidance

Green Brick expects closings to grow substantially beginning in the second quarter of 2021 and intends to raise home prices to increase margins and slow the sales pace.

Tailwinds

  • Expects closings to grow substantially beginning in the second quarter of 2021.
  • Company intends for increase in pricing to lead to higher profits.
  • Demand for homes has been tremendous at all price points.
  • Net new orders in January and February 2021 up 80% year over year.
  • Lots owned and controlled reached a record 14,468 lots, up 58% from six months ago.

Headwinds

  • Company intends for this increase in pricing to lead to lower new order levels.
  • Impacted by the coronavirus (“COVID-19”) pandemic.
  • Shortages, delays or increased costs of raw materials.
  • Shortage of labor.
  • Volatility of mortgage financing or a rise in interest rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro