NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record third quarter results with revenues up 28.4% and income before taxes up 41.9%.

Green Brick Partners reported record results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021. The company's residential units revenue and backlog reflect a record for any quarter since its inception. Income of $48.5 million was a record for any third quarter.

  • Residential units revenue increased by 28.4% year-over-year.
  • Income before taxes increased by 41.9% year-over-year.
  • Backlog increased by 83.9% year-over-year.
  • Lots owned and controlled increased by 101.8% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$342M

Previous: $276M+24.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.95

Previous: $0.68+39.7%
Homebuilding Gross Margin

26.9%

Previous: 24.8%+8.5%
Homes Under Construction

2.6K

Previous: 1.4K+87.7%
Total Lots Owned/Contracted

24.4K

Previous: 12.1K+101.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.78M

Previous: -$1.71M-4.4%
Free Cash Flow

$46.7M

Previous: $33.1M+41.1%
Net Income

$48.5M

Previous: $34.8M+39.3%
Operating Income

$57.8M

Previous: $38.7M+49.4%
Gross Profit

$91.3M

Previous: $67.9M+34.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$21.6M

Previous: $40.3M-46.5%
Total Assets

$1.35B

Previous: $945M+42.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$342M

Q3 2021+24.1%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $342M total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Residential Units
    $339M+28.4%
  • Land and Lots
    $3.44M-71.2%

Forward guidance

Green Brick is extremely well positioned to grow their business in 2022 and beyond due to their land position and backlog.

Tailwinds

  • Land position will position the company to grow in 2022 and beyond.
  • Backlog will position the company to grow in 2022 and beyond.
  • Sale and closing of increased number of spec homes will allow them to capture the most current price increases.
  • Sale and closing of increased number of spec homes will allow them to maximize profitability.
  • Focus on price over pace will continue to sustain industry-leading margins and strong financial performance.

Headwinds

  • Continuing impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Shortages, delays or increased costs of raw materials.
  • Increases in other operating costs, including costs related to labor, real estate taxes and insurance.
  • Shortage of labor.
  • Lack of availability or volatility of mortgage financing or a rise in interest rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

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