NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021.

Green Brick Partners reported record second-quarter results with total revenues of $373.8 million, up 60.5%, and income before income taxes of $74.0 million, up 104.4%. The company's backlog increased by 118.2% to $974.3 million, and the home building gross margin rose by 360 bps. Record lots owned and controlled were up 132.7%.

  • Total revenues reached a record $373.8 million, a 60.5% increase year-over-year.
  • Income before income taxes hit a record $74.0 million, up 104.4% year-over-year.
  • Backlog surged to $974.3 million, representing a 118.2% increase year-over-year.
  • Home building gross margin improved by 360 bps.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$374M

Previous: $233M+60.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.02

Previous: $0.66+54.5%
New Homes Delivered

757

No prior period
Homebuilding Gross Margin

26.8%

No prior period
Homes Under Construction

2.5K

No prior period
Total Lots Owned/Contracted

21.4K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.47M

Previous: -$1.18M-24.3%
Free Cash Flow

$50.8M

Previous: $32.5M+56.5%
Net Income

$52.3M

Previous: $33.6M+55.3%
Operating Income

$67M

Previous: $28.2M+137.4%
Gross Profit

$101M

Previous: $53.9M+87.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$33.5M

Previous: $43.2M-22.3%
Total Assets

$1.29B

Previous: $910M+41.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$374M

Q2 2021+60.5%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $374M total across 2 segments · Q2 2021

  • Residential Units
    $334M+45.8%
  • Land and Lots
    $40.3M+867.5%

Forward guidance

Green Brick expects revenues and earnings to continue to grow sequentially each quarter this year. The company believes its focus on price over pace will sustain industry-leading margins and strong financial performance through the remainder of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Revenues and earnings are expected to grow sequentially each quarter this year.
  • Focus on land development and dominant market presence.
  • Superior capacity to source new land.
  • Units under construction are up 95% compared to the previous year.
  • Pricing power in core markets of Dallas-Ft. Worth and Atlanta.

Headwinds

  • Potential continuing impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Shortages, delays, or increased costs of raw materials.
  • Shortage of labor.
  • Inability to acquire land at anticipated prices or difficulty in obtaining land-use entitlements.
  • Volatility of mortgage financing or a rise in interest rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

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